- The Lakers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 8:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on ABC
The Golden State Warriors visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Warriors vs Lakers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 43-47 against the spread, while the Lakers are 45-44 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | +3.5 -110 | O 228.5 -110 | +140 |
Los Angeles Lakers | -3.5 -110 | U 228.5 -110 | -165 |
Lakers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Saturday‘s game with 58.7% confidence.
Lakers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 96 games (+19.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 38 away games (+14.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 away games (+12.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 97 games (+11.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 away games (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 79 games (+22.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.64 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 43-47 (-8.7 Units / -8.69% ROI).
- 49-42 against the Moneyline (-25.85 Units / -11.02% ROI)
- 49-40 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 5% ROI)
- 40-49 against the Under for game total points (-13.9 Units / -13.89% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 45-44 (-3.45 Units / -3.44% ROI).
- 49-42 against the Moneyline (+13.75 Units / 9.03% ROI)
- 47-43 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.3% ROI)
- 43-47 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -8.69% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-18.25 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 47 games (-18.16 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 47 games (-17.86 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 52 games (-15.76 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 55 games (-14.10 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 96 games (-31.45 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 45 away games (-31.05 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 38 games (-28.65 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 85 games (-26.77 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 98 games (-24.12 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Golden State Warriors are 6-23 (.207) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.
The Golden State Warriors are 63-23 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings have averaged 50.5 rebounds per game (8,275 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Warriors are 36-21 (.632) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Warriors are 2-22 (.083) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .166
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Los Angeles Lakers are 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin this season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Memphis Grizzlies have averaged 55.5 rebounds per game (4,554 rebounds/82 games) this season — third-highest among NBA teams.
The Los Angeles Lakers are 35-57 (.380) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Memphis Grizzlies have averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (2,198 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Lakers are 8-30 (.211) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .275
The Lakers are 35-57 (.380) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452
Injury Report: Lakers vs. Warriors – Saturday‘s Game, May 6
- Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Saturday’s (May.6) game against Golden State.
- Mo Bamba (Lakers): Bamba is Questionable for Saturday’s (May 6) game against Golden State.
- LeBron James (Lakers): James is probable for Saturday’s (May.6) game against Golden State.
- Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Warriors): Baldwin Jr. Questionable for Saturday’s (May 6) game against the Lakers.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala underwent successful surgery on his left wrist Tuesday and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5
The Warriors have made 16.0 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5
The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6
The Lakers have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (4,470 points/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5
The Lakers are shooting 47% (9,856/20,773) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,888 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have 1,888 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,100 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,152 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,787 rebounds/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.9
The Lakers have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (6,135 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7
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