Warriors vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 08, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Lakers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Monday, May 8, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Golden State Warriors visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Lakers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 43-48 against the spread, while the Lakers are 46-44 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+2.5 -110O 228.5 -110+120
Los Angeles Lakers -2.5 -110U 228.5 -110-145

Lakers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Monday‘s game with 58.7% confidence.

Lakers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 97 games (+18.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 away games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 98 games (+10.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 away games (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 80 games (+23.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.64 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.95 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+9.75 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 43-48 (-9.8 Units / -9.68% ROI).

  • 49-43 against the Moneyline (-26.85 Units / -11.4% ROI)
  • 49-41 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 3.85% ROI)
  • 41-49 against the Under for game total points (-12.9 Units / -12.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 46-44 (-2.45 Units / -2.42% ROI).

  • 50-42 against the Moneyline (+14.75 Units / 9.58% ROI)
  • 47-44 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.38% ROI)
  • 44-47 against the Under for game total points (-7.7 Units / -7.61% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-19.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 48 games (-17.16 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 48 games (-16.86 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 92 games (-15.20 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 56 games (-15.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 46 away games (-32.05 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 97 games (-30.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 86 games (-27.87 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 39 games (-27.45 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (-25.12 Units / -16% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Golden State Warriors are 6-23 (.207) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

The Golden State Warriors are 63-23 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings have averaged 50.5 rebounds per game (8,275 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Warriors are 36-21 (.632) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Warriors are 2-22 (.083) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .166

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Los Angeles Lakers are 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin this season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Memphis Grizzlies have averaged 55.5 rebounds per game (4,554 rebounds/82 games) this season — third-highest among NBA teams.

The Los Angeles Lakers are 35-57 (.380) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Memphis Grizzlies have averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (2,198 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Lakers are 8-30 (.211) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .275

The Lakers are 35-57 (.380) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

Injury Report: Lakers vs. WarriorsMonday‘s Game, May 8

  • LeBron James (Lakers): James is probable for Monday’s (May 8) game against Golden State.
  • Mo Bamba (Lakers): Bamba is questionable for Monday’s (May 8) game against Golden State.
  • Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Monday’s (May 8) game against Golden State.
  • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
  • Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Warriors): The Warriors have listed Baldwin Jr. as OUT for Saturday’s game (May 6) against the Lakers.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala underwent successful surgery on his left wrist Tuesday and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Warriors have made 16.0 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (4,470 points/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Lakers are shooting 47% (9,856/20,773) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,888 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have 1,888 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,100 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,152 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,787 rebounds/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.9

The Lakers have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (6,135 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.