Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2022, 8:51 AM
  • The Nuggets (34-25) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (43-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Monday, March 7, 2022 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ALT & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 30-30 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 31-33 against the spread.

The Warriors vs Nuggets Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.


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Warriors vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+8.5 -110O 223.5 -110340
Denver Nuggets -8.5 -110U 223.5 -110-450

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone:

  • 30-30 against the Spread (-3.05 Units / -4.33% ROI)
  • 43-21 against the Moneyline (-6.8 Units / -2.81% ROI)
  • 28-34 against the Over for game total points (-9.4 Units / -13.36% ROI)
  • 34-28 against the Under for game total points (+3.2 Units / 4.54% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.44 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.59 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 31 away games (-15.64 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 31 away games (-15.13 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 64 games (-14.74 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 44 games (-13.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 64 games (-11.62 Units / -16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone:

  • 31-33 against the Spread (-5.3 Units / -7.53% ROI)
  • 38-26 against the Moneyline (-8.4 Units / -5.67% ROI)
  • 35-29 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 4.4% ROI)
  • 29-35 against the Under for game total points (-9.5 Units / -13.49% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 52 games (+18.56 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.18 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.43 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 51 games (-29.79 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 58 games (-23.72 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 64 games (-21.08 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 63 games (-17.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 52 games (-17.30 Units / -30% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Warriors are 15-6 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468

The Warriors were 36-8 (.818) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .677

The Warriors are 12-5 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .514

The Warriors are 17-5 (.773) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Nuggets were 7-3 (.700) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Nuggets are 43-18 (.705) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 34-11 (.756) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Nuggets are 14-5 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Warriors - Monday's Game, Mar. 07

  • Vlatko Cancar (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Cancar had surgery on his foot and will be re-evaluated in 12 weeks.
  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. has been cleared for on-court contact and is hoping to return sometime in March, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is recovering from a torn ACL and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Gary Payton II (Warriors): Payton II is out for Monday's (Mar. 7) game against Denver.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has not played since Feb. 7 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): Curry is out for Monday's (Mar. 7) game against Denver.
  • Draymond Green (Warriors): Green said he's hoping to return within 3-4 weeks.
  • Klay Thompson (Warriors): Thompson is out for Monday's (Mar. 7) game against Denver.
  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins is out for Monday's (Mar. 7) game against Denver.
  • James Wiseman (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Wiseman has been cleared to participate in full team practices, but a timetable for his return to game action has not been determined.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8

The Warriors have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (661 turnovers/44 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have averaged 13.5 assists per game (592 assists/44 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.5

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 14.7 assists per game (633 assists/43 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

The Nuggets have 18.0 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.8

The Nuggets have averaged 8.7 offensive rebounds per game (376 rebounds/43 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Nuggets are shooting 50% (2,609/5,184) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.5 steals per game (420 steals/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,603 rebounds/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3

The Warriors have 1,001 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (513 steals/58 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (164 blocks/43 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (249 blocks/59 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets stole the ball 582 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (487 blocks/115 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.