The New Orleans Saints head to Nashville in Week 10 to take on the Tennessee Titans in a battle of teams searching to find a new identity. With the recent injuries to Saints quarterback Jameis Winston and Titans running back Derrick Henry, continue reading to find out how the NFL football odds for Sunday’s matchup have been impacted.
Quarterback Questions for the Saints
For New Orleans (5-3), questions surrounding their quarterbacks linger as the team decided to hold steady at the trade deadline following the season-ending ACL injury to Jameis Winston. However, after making a few calls around the deadline, the New Orleans Saints and coach Sean Payton felt confident in former Broncos starter Trevor Siemian to take reigns of the offense in Week 9 against Atlanta.
While Siemian played well in his first game starting since 2019, many drops and other costly mistakes afforded the Falcons a 27-25 win in the closing seconds. However, the story of the Week 9 game for New Orleans was clear: without Winston, this team’s margin for error is razor-thin.
Sharpening that razor-thin margin is the news that Michael Thomas will not return in the 2021 season. A massive blow for a team currently without a proper number one receiver, the Saints must continue to lean on star-back Alvin Kamara and their defense to win games.
Who Are the Titans?
Another team reeling from a devastating injury is the Tennessee Titans (7-2), who in Week 8 lost their workhorse running back Derrick Henry. The injury, coming right before a huge Week 9 primetime matchup with the red-hot Rams, left many fans wondering the same question.
“How does Tennessee win without Henry?”
It didn’t take long to get an answer. The Titans beat up on the Stafford-led Rams with a suffocating defense and 21 unanswered second-quarter points.
Even after a great win in Week 9, looking at the first box score without Henry paints a slightly less optimistic picture of the Titans. Against L.A., Tennessee ball carriers only averaged 2.7 yards per rush, a considerable drop from the 4.9 yards per rush Henry has averaged throughout his career. This dip in output will be something to note moving forward for a team that thrives on running the football.
NFL Football Odds: Saints at Titans (-3)
The biggest key for the Saints-Titans Week 10 matchup will be which defense can adapt to the new style of offense the other team deploys.
For the Saints, this means slowing down a newfound Tennessee passing attack featuring playmakers like A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. For the Titans’ defense, interrupting the run and short passing attack between Siemian and Kamara will be crucial to getting off the field on critical 3rd downs.
This Sunday, the point spread for the Saints and Titans game sits at 3 points, with Tennessee as the slight favorite.
As far as NFL betting goes, the Titans have been one of the hottest teams in football this season. After five straight victories, a Tennessee cover would improve their ATS record to 8-2 for the season and 5-1 over the past six weeks. A New Orleans win would improve their ATS record to 5-4 (3-3 past six).
For this week’s matchup, I see the Titans winning and covering the spread in a matchup where both teams struggle to move the ball. With each team presenting a similar quality defense, I trust the Titan’s core of Tannehill, A.J. Brown, and Julio Jones to cover against Kamara and the Siemian-led Saints passing attack.
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