According to the Chinese Zodiac, 2021 is the year of the Ox. But when it comes to NFL betting, it certainly appears to be the year of the dog. The underdog has reigned supreme this year as outrageous upsets continue to hit week after week.
In Week 9, there were some doozies, including the Titans, Jaguars, and Broncos, and if you were smart (or lucky) enough to include those in your sports picks, you were sitting pretty on Monday morning.
The Atlanta Falcons pulled off an upset of their own with an impressive 27-25 road victory in New Orleans. They’ll look to see if lightning can twice this week as they continue the road trip. But, first, let’s look at the NFL underdog odds for the Dirty Birds against the Dallas Cowboys.
Falcons Scoring Trends
Don’t look now, but the Falcons have won three out of their last four and are right in the mix in the competitive NFC South. Since October 10th, the Falcons have defeated the Jets, Dolphins, and Saints, with their lone loss coming at the hands of the Carolina Panthers.
Atlanta averaged 28 points per game in those three wins while scoring just 13 in the loss to the Panthers. The Falcons rank 22nd in the league in total yards (350/game) and 21st in points (21.9). However, quarterback Matt Ryan is heating up. Last week he threw for 343 yards and two TDs – all without number one receiver Calvin Ridley.
Falcons (+350) at Cowboys
The Falcons enter this weekend’s matchup as heavy underdogs against the Cowboys, but this year, that might not be such a bad thing. Dallas is coming off a major upset by the Denver Broncos in a game they entered as 9.5-point favorites.
Quarterback Dak Prescott looked rusty after being sidelined last week with a calf injury, and the Cowboys were dead in the water from the opening bell.
It was a surprising game, considering the Cowboys had won six straight and continue to lead the league in yards per game (434.3), and are third in scoring (30.1 points per game). Without Calvin Ridley, it seems unlikely that the Falcons have the firepower to win straight up against a Dallas team that will be looking to atone for last week’s mess.
Falcons (+8.5) at Cowboys
The point spread is a little more intriguing for me. It’s a massive spread at 8.5 points, and the Falcons looked good last week while the Cowboys looked terrible.
There’s undoubtedly the possibility that Dak Prescott isn’t 100%, which was suggested by his 19 for 39 232-yard performance on Sunday. While I expect him to bounce back this week with a better effort, nine points is still a lot to cover.
On the other hand, we have a Matt Ryan coming off one of his best games of the season, which could make this one interesting. However, the Falcons are 4-4 against the spread this year while the Cowboys are 7-1, so proceed with caution.
Which NFL Underdog Odds Do You Like This Week?
Every week we can bank on a handful of NFL underdog odds to hit, and it’s just a matter of pulling the trigger on the correct games. The Falcons vs. Cowboys game features an enticing money line for the underdog, but I’d be more inclined to take Atlanta with the points.
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