It’s going to be a wild week in college football as the regular season wraps up. Not only is it a week full of rivalry games, but there’s still a lot to be determined when it comes to the College Football Playoffs and the New Year’s Six.
All of the action should be more than enough to provide some exciting banter at Thanksgiving dinner tables across the nation. So let’s take a look at the NCAAF odds and a few of the best college football bets for Week 13.
Georgia Tech vs. Georgia (-35.5)
Usually, I don’t like betting on spreads this big, but I like Georgia to wrap up its perfect season with a bang on Saturday. The Bulldogs are coming off of a 49-point win last week and have choked out their opponents all year with a suffocating defense that has allowed just 7.5 points per game on average.
On the other hand, the Yellow Jackets fell 55-0 to Notre Dame last week and have had a disappointing season. Their defense ranks 107th in the country (32.5 points per game allowed), and their offense is 81st (26.2 points per game). I believe that this game will get ugly quickly.
Alabama at Auburn (+19.5)
Auburn has had a disappointing season at 6-5 after losing their last three games, but they have the 37th best defense in points allowed per game (22).
This year, the Crimson Tide are just 6-5 ATS and didn’t cover against their last two SEC opponents, LSU and Arkansas. Against Arkansas, a team that runs more than it passes, the Crimson Tide gave up 35 points. Alabama is much better statistically against the run than the pass, and Auburn passes the ball more than Arkansas. I expect Auburn to put up at least 28 points this week.
Alabama will win this game, but I like the Tigers with the points.
Cincinnati at East Carolina (+14)
The Bearcats are finally ranked in the top four of the College Football Playoff rankings. In my opinion, the only reason they weren’t there sooner is because of style points. Cincinnati is 11-0 but only 6-5 against the spread.
Meanwhile, East Carolina covers just as much as they win outright. The Pirates are 7-4 overall with a 7-3-1 record ATS and are coming off four straight victories. The Pirates only give up 25.5 points per game, and they rush for 171.5 yards per game. Cincinnati’s defense is 60th against the run, so I think ECU can keep the score close by getting RB Keaton Mitchell 20-25 carries. I like Cincinnati to win, but only by 13 points or less.
Stanford vs. Notre Dame (-18.5)
Notre Dame has an 8-3 record against the spread to go with their 10-1 record. The Fighting Irish defense has been stellar in November, allowing just nine points in three games.
They’re coming off of a 55-0 blowout win against Georgia Tech and face a Stanford team that is 3-8 overall and ATS. Stanford has lost six in a row and has been crushed in the last three. Notre Dame has the twelfth-ranked scoring defense in the country, while Stanford only averages 21 points a game (111th). So I’m taking the Irish to cover in this one.
Michigan vs. Ohio State (-8.5)
I know it’s one of the most fabled rivalries in sports, and the Michigan fans will be excited, but it’s hard not to take Ohio State to cover a single-digit spread. The Buckeyes have outscored opponents 115-38 in their last two games against ranked opponents, including a 56-7 win over Michigan State last week, the team that served the Wolverines their only loss.
C.J. Stroud is on fire, completing over 71% of his passes to go with 36 TDs, and he’s now the Heisman favorite. I think the Buckeyes win big again.
Who are your best college football bets this week?
These are five of my best college football bets this week, and now it’s time for you to make yours. Another great season is coming to a close, so it’s time to leave it all on the table and pick some winners in Week 13.
So be sure to keep up to date on BetMGM’s football lines and check back daily for all of your online sports betting needs. Create an account today and place your bets on this week’s NCAAF action.