- The White Sox are -110 favorites vs the Cubs
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito, 9.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly, 11.25 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Chicago White Sox (-110) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-110) on Friday, March 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-175).
The White Sox vs Cubs Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the White Sox are 6-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 8-2 ATS.
White Sox vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -120 | -110 |
| Cubs | +1.5 +145 | U 9.5 +100 | -110 |
White Sox vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on White Sox vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- AJ Pollock has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nick Madrigal has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 18% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+13.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 away games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+19.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+16.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -1.3% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -3.09% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -31.98% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 22.59% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 8-2 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 46.21% ROI).
- 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 55.34% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -20.83% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 13.11% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (198 Total Bases / 365 ABs) against right-handed batters last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (128/456) versus Lucas Giolito last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Lucas Giolito allowed an OPS of 1.348 (128 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.001 — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .312 (114-for-365) against Lucas Giolito last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly threw his curveball 48% of the time (666/1,396) against right-handed batters last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (971/2,641) in non-two strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has had third base stolen on him 9 times since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
20 of Drew Smyly’s 69 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) were backdoor last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The White Sox are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The White Sox are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Cubs are just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Cubs are just 37-44 (.457) at home last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Cubs are just 13-43 (.232) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Cubs are just 19-106 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (277 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
White Sox hitters pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters drew 39 walks in 771 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .476 (312 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 54 double plays in 386 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters slugged just .185 in lefty-lefty matchups last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
The Cubs batted .371 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Cubs are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1388.0 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,137 of 12,365 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on White Sox vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
