- The White Sox are -110 favorites vs the Cubs
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito, 9.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly, 11.25 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Chicago White Sox (-110) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-110) on Friday, March 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-175).
The White Sox vs Cubs Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the White Sox are 6-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 8-2 ATS.
White Sox vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
White Sox | -1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -120 | -110 |
Cubs | +1.5 +145 | U 9.5 +100 | -110 |
White Sox vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- AJ Pollock has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nick Madrigal has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 18% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+13.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 away games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+19.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+16.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -1.3% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -3.09% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -31.98% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 22.59% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 8-2 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 46.21% ROI).
- 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 55.34% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -20.83% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 13.11% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (198 Total Bases / 365 ABs) against right-handed batters last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (128/456) versus Lucas Giolito last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Lucas Giolito allowed an OPS of 1.348 (128 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.001 — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .312 (114-for-365) against Lucas Giolito last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly threw his curveball 48% of the time (666/1,396) against right-handed batters last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (971/2,641) in non-two strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has had third base stolen on him 9 times since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
20 of Drew Smyly’s 69 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) were backdoor last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The White Sox are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The White Sox are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Cubs are just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Cubs are just 37-44 (.457) at home last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Cubs are just 13-43 (.232) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Cubs are just 19-106 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (277 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
White Sox hitters pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters drew 39 walks in 771 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .476 (312 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 54 double plays in 386 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters slugged just .185 in lefty-lefty matchups last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
The Cubs batted .371 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Cubs are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1388.0 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,137 of 12,365 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
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