- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Chicago White Sox (+110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The White Sox vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 19-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 21-26 ATS.
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -115 | +110 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -105 | -135 |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 45 games (+24.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 44 games (+14.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -165 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Logan Allen | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+17.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+14.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 24-25 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -6.12% ROI).
- 19-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -21.48% ROI
- 22-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -5.49% ROI
- 23-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -1.94% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 21-26 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -10.98% ROI).
- 21-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -19.31% ROI
- 16-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.75 Units / -28.56% ROI
- 28-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.6 Units / 20.46% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 42% of the time (1,737/4,099) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has a strike rate of just 58% (189/327) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 9 of 53 right-handed batters (17%) over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Dylan Cease walked 78 of 747 batters (10%) in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of just .445 (33 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .747 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 56% (10/18) against Logan Allen — tied for 8th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (18/45) against Logan Allen on changeups this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 91st Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .281 (25-for-89) against Logan Allen over the last 30 days (5 games) — tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 12th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 0-6 (.000) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The White Sox are just 3-12 (.200) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The White Sox are just 15-5 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The White Sox are just 11-55 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 22-73 (.232) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Guardians are 16-77 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Guardians are 6-16 (.273) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Guardians are 22-52 (.297) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 368 walks in 6,260 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .151 (233 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
White Sox hitters have drawn 93 walks in 1,480 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,480 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .342 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Guardians hitters have not struck out in 15 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,025 strikeouts in 5,789 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .340 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 79% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 42 of 435 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 23 of 423 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 127 of 1,779 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 562 of 7,768 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Peyton Battenfield (Guardians): Shoulder, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Wrist, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Elvis Andrus (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Hanser Alberto (White Sox): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
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