- The Reds are -130 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Chicago White Sox (+110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-130) on Saturday, May 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The White Sox vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 11-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 18-14 ATS.
White Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -110 | +110 |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -110 | -130 |
White Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 31 games (+9.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Reds vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Reds vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Reds vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Reds vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Nick Lodolo | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+6.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.10 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.25 Units / 20% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 15-18 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -13.43% ROI).
- 11-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -30.17% ROI
- 18-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 13.93% ROI
- 12-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -21.29% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 18-14 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 8.72% ROI).
- 13-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -15.14% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 2% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -10.58% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .197 (12-for-61) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .341 — 99th Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has a strike rate of just 56% (89/159) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (5/45) against Mike Clevinger when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .174 (8-for-46) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (151/502) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .494 (39-for-79) against Nick Lodolo when he’s behind in the count since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed a slugging percentage of .937 (74 Total Bases / 79 ABs) when behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .593 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .380 (35-for-92) against Nick Lodolo over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The White Sox are just 3-5 (.375) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The White Sox are just 7-5 (.583) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The White Sox are just 1-8 (.111) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
The White Sox are just 10-74 (.119) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Reds are just 61-6 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Reds are just 18-28 (.391) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
The Reds are 2-17 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 342 walks in 5,765 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 45 walks in 916 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 27% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 10% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Reds hitters have 18 extra-base hits out of 67 total hits (just 27%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .322 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 144 of 1,325 batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox have allowed 2.21 runs per game (73/33) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.60 (292.1 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .350 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .313 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Reds pitchers have walked 156 of 1,708 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 729 of 7,464 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D10
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