- The White Sox are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Chicago White Sox (-150) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+125) on Tuesday, May 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 12-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 13-23 ATS.
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +105 | O 9 -115 | -150 |
| Royals | +1.5 -130 | U 9 -105 | +125 |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.25 Units / 138% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+10.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+9.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 59% ROI)
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -165 |
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Royals Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 16-20 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -15.72% ROI).
- 12-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -30.81% ROI
- 20-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 15.3% ROI
- 13-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -22.29% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 13-23 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -30.41% ROI).
- 10-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -35.92% ROI
- 18-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.25% ROI
- 16-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -9.69% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (9/46) against Lucas Giolito this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 11% (5/46) against Lucas Giolito this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (110/352) against Lucas Giolito since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .235 (4-for-17) against Lucas Giolito on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .353 — 91st Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (10/40) against Jordan Lyles in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (18/70) against Jordan Lyles this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (34/134) against Jordan Lyles this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox are just 8-5 (.615) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The White Sox are just 8-5 (.615) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .851.
The White Sox are just 6-14 (.300) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The White Sox are just 2-10 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 5-53 (.086) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 2-5 (.286) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Royals are just 6-9 (.400) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Royals are just 10-26 (.278) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 45 walks in 925 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 349 walks in 5,856 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox are batting .266 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
White Sox hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 16% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .289 (966 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Royals hitters have put just 31% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have allowed 2.06 runs per game (74/36) in late innings this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .309 against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox pitchers have walked 152 of 1,443 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have walked 719 of 7,645 batters (9%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D10
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