Several Saturday Round 3 matches on the women’s side of Wimbledon pit heavy favorites against long shot underdogs, but a few contests offer great value.
Wimbledon betting odds make Iga Swiatek the heavy favorite (+150) to win her first at the All England Club. Petra Kvitova, one of the featured women below, offers excellent value as a sleeper at +1200.
Here are two Round 3 matches on Saturday that offer solid value with the moneyline.
Wimbledon Odds: Paula Badosa (+110) vs. Petra Kvitova (-143)
According to Wimbledon odds, Petr Kvitova is the clear favorite for Saturday’s Round 3 encounter against Paula Badosa despite the Spaniard’s superior ranking. Badosa is the fourth-ranked female tennis player, while Kvitova is ranked 26th.
Kvitova’s favored status is due to her grass-court experience and esteemed winning pedigree at the All England Club.
The two-time Wimbldeon champion is making her 14th appearance at Wimbledon and has won almost 75 percent of her matches on grass throughout her illustrious career.
The 32-year-old, who won the Eastbourne International in preparation for Wimbledon, is full of confidence going into Saturday’s match. She has only dropped two sets in her last seven grass-court matches and will need to play at that elite level to beat Badosa.
However, she hasn’t won The Championships since 2014 and was ousted in the first round in two of her last three appearances.
This is Badosa’s third Wimbledon appearance. The 24-year-old won two opening-round matches in straight sets and advanced to the fourth round in last year’s competition.
Her first appearance at Wimbledon (2019) resulted in an opening-round defeat. Badosa has a 59% winning record on grass during her career, winning 16 of 27 matches.
Their one previous head-to-head battle, a 2020 Australian Open Round-of-64 tilt, went to Kvitova in straight sets.
Badosa has every chance of notching the upset in this one. However, considering Kvitova’s rich vein of form entering The Championships, look for her to prevail and reach the fourth round for the seventh time.
Pick: Kvitova (-143), Three Set Victory (+325)
Wimbledon Odds: Ajla Tomljanović (+105) vs. Barbora Krejčíková (-133)
Before Wimbldeon, neither player was playing particularly well.
Barbora Krejcikova, ranked No. 14 in the world, carried a three-game losing streak into The Championships. She hasn’t advanced past the Round of 16 since qualifying for the Australian Open quarterfinals in January.
Last year she advanced to the fourth Wimbledon round in her All England Club’s inaugural appearance. She’ll equal that result with a win against Ajla Tomljanović, the 44th-ranked woman on tour.
Tomljanović made it to the quarterfinals of the Nottingham Open in a warm-up tournament, a result she hasn’t bettered in over a year. However, the 29-year-old is still looking for her first title on tour.
She made it to the quarterfinals of last year’s Wimbledon, her best result at a Grand Slam. This is the Australian’s seventh Wimbledon, five ending in either the first or second round.
Krejcikova has mixed results on grass, winning six of her 12 matches. Tomljanović is much more experienced on the surface and has won 34 of 61 matches, a 56% winning mark.
Saturday will be the first head-to-head tilt between the combatants. Look for this match to go the distance, with Tomljanović picking up the upset.
Pick: Ajla Tomljanović (+105) In Three Sets (+360)