Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2023, 9:43 AM
  • The Mavericks are -7.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Tuesday, January 24, 2023 at 8:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSW & NBCS-DC

The Washington Wizards visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Wizards vs Mavericks Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 21-24 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 16-30 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+7.5 -110O 225.5 -110+240
Dallas Mavericks -7.5 -110U 225.5 -110-300

Mavericks vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Tuesday‘s game with 67.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wizards and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 53 games (+21.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.19 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.24 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 98 games (+23.03 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 games at home (+9.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 21-24 (-5.4 Units / -10.68% ROI).

  • 20-26 against the Moneyline (-2.85 Units / -4.97% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.35% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 16-30 (-16.95 Units / -32.13% ROI).

  • 25-23 against the Moneyline (-17.15 Units / -16.81% ROI)
  • 27-21 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 21-27 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 98 games (-35.19 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 84 games (-25.36 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 39 games (-23.86 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 93 games (-23.03 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 17 of their last 53 games (-20.35 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 67 games (-27.40 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 63 games (-17.72 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 71 games (-17.25 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-15.96 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games (-14.30 Units / -37% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Washington Wizards are 4-25 (.138) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The Dallas Mavericks made 13.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

The Wizards are 4-25 (.138) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .313

The Wizards are 8-52 (.133) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218

The Wizards are 8-37 (.178) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .271

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Mavericks are 86-20 (.811) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .679

The Mavericks are 63-11 (.851) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692

The Mavericks are 31-6 (.838) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770

The Mavericks are 41-34 (.547) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. WizardsTuesday‘s Game, Jan. 24

  • Maxi Kleber (Mavericks): Kleber hopes to return prior to the All-Star break, according to Tim MacMahon of ESPN.com.
  • Christian Wood (Mavericks): Wood suffered a fractured left thumb and will be re-evaluated in one week, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Wizards): The Wizards announced that Porzingis is week-to-week with a sprained left ankle.

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards are shooting 32% from three (232/732) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Wizards have averaged 9.6 fast break points per game (605 points/63 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Wizards have made 10.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

The Wizards have averaged 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (437 rebounds/46 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (2,014 points/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Mavericks have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (2,688 points/64 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.7

The Mavericks have averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/48 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5

The Mavericks have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (572 turnovers/48 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 6.5 steals per game (830 steals/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,358 steals/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have blocked 245 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Wizards have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,594 rebounds/46 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (251 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (829 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 30.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,481 rebounds/48 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (1,317 steals/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.