Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction: WNBA Playoffs Game 2, Round 1

The top-seeded Minnesota Lynx are suddenly on the brink of elimination when they face the New York Liberty in Game 2 of their Round 1 series. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn on the USA Network.

Read on for my Lynx vs. Liberty prediction based on the latest WNBA odds:

Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction: Tuesday, Sept. 29

• Lynx first-quarter spread (-0.5)
• Lynx first-half spread (-1.5)

I’m willing to lay the points with the Lynx’s first-quarter spread and first-half spread because I expect an inspired start after their 91-75 loss in Game 1.

The Lynx were never in control on Sunday, facing an early 25-18 deficit. But they’ve actually performed better on the road this season, so don’t be surprised when they flip the script on Tuesday.

Minnesota led the WNBA with 18 road wins in the regular season, ranking second with a +8.5 net rating.  The Lynx had a +3.8 net rating in the first quarter of road contests.

Rookie guard Olivia Miles admitted she was nervous on the broadcast during her playoff debut, which likely played a key role in the Lynx’s slow start. Miles recorded four points and one assist in the first quarter of Game 1.

While the Liberty did an excellent job making life difficult for the rookie, I expect Lynx coach Cheryl Reeve to respond. She could give Courtney Williams more on-ball responsibility, finding soft spots in the mid-range against the Liberty’s drop coverage.

Either way, I’m not surprised to see the Lynx listed as 3.5-point favorites for the full game. I’d just rather bank on a fast start from the visitors, especially since I’ve already bet this series to last three games before Game 1.

Prediction: Lynx first-quarter spread (-0.5)

Lynx vs. Liberty Odds for Game 2, Round 1

• Lynx spread: -3.5
• Liberty spread: +3.5
• Total: 172.5