Below, bettors can find World Cup odds and an Argentina vs Cape Verde prediction for their round of 32 fixture in Miami.
Argentina vs Cape Verde: World Cup Odds
Argentina vs Cape Verde: Anytime Goal Odds
Check back later for Argentina vs Cape Verde anytime goalscorer odds at BetMGM.
Cape Verde vs Argentina Prediction
Based on Cape Verde’s poor attacking metrics against good teams and promising defensive record against Spain, my Argentina vs Cape Verde prediction is Under 2.5 Goals (+125).
In an ideal world, the price on Under 3.5 Goals would come down from -200 at open. Confidence is higher in that market, but I prefer the price on Under 2.5 Goals.
Either way, I predict only one team will contribute to the total: Argentina. Odds support that belief as Both Teams to Score – “No” is priced at a lofty .
Against attacks superior to Cape Verde, Lionel Scaloni’s side posted strong defensive metrics.
Algeria failed to put a shot on target on Matchday 1, while Austria created only 0.05 post-shot xG. Even by expected goals, the teams combined for 0.8 total goals.
Cape Verde scored two goals against Uruguay, their only tallies so far. Both came off Uruguay mistakes from the defense and goalkeeper against the World Cup debutants.
Against Spain – the closest comparison to Argentina’s defense – Cape Verde struggled to generate chances. The attack created 0.2 xG and 0.1 post-shot xG off six box touches.
At the same time, bettors should note Cape Verde’s defensive performance against Spain. Although the defense allowed 2.1 expected goals, it came off 27 shots.
Spain’s attack turned 51 box touches into only 1.45 post-shot xG. It came in a favorable environment (indoors in Atlanta), albeit without talisman Lamine Yamal.
It should give Cape Verde manager Bubista confidence ahead of the Argentina clash. Plus, Argentina ran slightly lucky in attack during the group stage.
Lionel Messi scored a hat trick against Austria, but the team created only 1.3 xG and 2.2 post-shot xG. Against Austria, they created 1.6 non-penalty xG and 1.5 non-penalty psxG.
Some regression could arrive on a humid July day in Miami. Those factors lead me to predict the game stays under 2.5 goals at a higher frequency than these odds suggest.
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