Below, bettors can find World Cup odds and a Colombia vs Ghana prediction for their round of 32 fixture in Kansas City.
Colombia vs Ghana: World Cup Odds
Colombia vs Ghana: Anytime Goal Odds
Ghana vs Colombia Prediction
Based on Colombia’s defensive performance against Portugal and Ghana’s defensive record in the group stage, my Colombia vs Ghana prediction is Under 2.5 Goals (-155).
Colombia, surprisingly, dominated the ball against Portugal. Needing only a draw to win the group, the South American outfit obtained 55% possession en route to 1.7 expected goals.
My expectation on Friday is that the possession metrics will increase against Ghana.
The African outfit showed during the group stage it was content to play without the ball and try to counter possession-heavy sides.
It worked in spades against England as the Three Lions failed to score against Ghana. By underlying metrics, England amassed only 0.4 post-shot expected goals.
Colombia lacks the same attacking threats as the Three Lions. After a three-goal burst against Uzbekistan, manager Nestor Lorenzo’s side reached one xG against DR Congo.
Post-shot xG boosted Colombia to 1.4. However, group stage performances leave me more encouraged by the Ghanaian defense.
Trust in the Colombia defense offers greater encouragement. In their final two group matches, the 2024 Copa American finalists allowed only 1.3 expected goals.
DR Congo finished on 0.08 post-shot xG – a lower figure than Portugal against Colombia – while the UEFA side generated only 0.47 post-shot xG.
Lastly, the odds expect only one team to contribute to the total in Friday’s match. As it stands, Both Teams to Score – “No” is priced at .
If Ghana scores first, bettors likely see the underdog sit back and defend. I simultaneously trust the Ghana defense enough that concessions, if any, will come late in the match.
Those factors lead me to predict a low-scoring match on Friday in Kansas City.
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