- Germany is predicted to be a 1.5-goal favorite against Ivory Coast.
- Germany will enter this match riding a 10-game winning streak.
- My Germany vs Ivory Coast prediction is Both Teams to Score - “Yes” (-125).
Germany and the Ivory Coast meet on Saturday in Toronto for the top spot in Group F.
The Germans cruised to a 7-1 win over Curacao on Matchday 1 thanks to a 4-0 second half. It gave Julian Nagelsmann’s side a 10th straight win.
The Ivory Coast began its World Cup campaign with a 1-0 win over Ecuador in Philadelphia. With a win against Germany, the African outfit would earn its fourth straight victory.
Check out the World Cup odds and my Germany vs Ivory Coast prediction.
Germany vs Ivory Coast: World Cup Odds
Ivory Coast vs Germany Prediction
Based on Germany’s consistent offensive record and troubling defensive record, my Germany vs Ivory Coast prediction is Both Teams to Score – “Yes” (-125).
Read More: How Often Do Both Teams Score in World Cup Matches?
For the Ivory Coast defense, Saturday’s match represents a big step up in competition. Going from Ecuador, a defense-comes-first team, to Germany will look like a shock to the system.
The fact Ivory Coast allowed one expected goal offers some concern. Allowing 0.03 post-shot xG helps quell it slightly, but I’d expect better finishing from Germany.
In its final pre-tournament friendly, the Ivory Coast faced a comparable France attack. Les Bleus found a tally just before halftime while generating 1.9 expected goals against the Ivory Coast.
For Germany, the metrics against Curacao offer little meaning. But eight big scoring chances against Switzerland in March offer the biggest tell about this attack.
All that said, I worry about Germany’s defensive viability in Saturday’s match. Curacao scored a fluky goal off 0.5 post-shot xG, while the Ivory Coast offers a step up in quality.
They scored twice against France in the final friendly, despite creating 0.8 xG. From a comparison standpoint, Germany offers less resistance defensively.
During their 10-game winning streak, Germany kept a clean sheet five times. However, four of those five successes came against teams 50th or worse in soccer’s ELO rankings.
The Ivory Coast improved to 37th in the rankings after their Matchday 1 victory. Given those factors, I predict each team finds a tally north of the border on Saturday.
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