- Spain is predicted to be a 2.5-goal favorite against Saudi Arabia.
- Spain has drawn three of its previous four matches, including two 0-0 draws.
- My Spain vs Saudi Arabia prediction is Saudi Arabia 1H Under 0.5 Corners (+115).
After a shocking 0-0 draw against Cape Verde, Spain returns to action against Saudi Arabia.
Luis de la Fuente’s side failed offensively in a 0-0 draw against debutants Cabo Verde. As a 3.5-goal favorite at market close, the attack generated a measly 1.45 post-shot xG output.
Saudi Arabia drew 1-1 with Uruguay on Matchday 1 after taking a first-half lead. It marked the second straight draw for Saudi Arabia after a 0-0 friendly against Senegal.
Check out the World Cup odds and my Spain vs Saudi Arabia prediction.
Spain vs Saudi Arabia: World Cup Odds
Saudi Arabia vs Spain Prediction
Based on Spain’s ability to dominate possession and their underlying metrics against Cape Verde, my Spain vs Saudi Arabia prediction is Saudi Arabia 1H Corners Under 0.5 (+115).
Saudi Arabia raced out to four corners inside halftime against Uruguay. But it came while controlling 41% of the ball, which they’ll fail to replicate against Spain.
La Furia Roja amassed a 70% first-half possession share against Cape Verde. They simultaneously allowed only 14 touches in the opposing half and four box touches.
Cape Verde failed to secure a corner kick in the first half. For the entire match, they managed only one corner kick, which came in second-half stoppage time.
Prior to facing Uruguay, Saudi Arabia struggled to get forward against a strong Senegalese defense.
It managed only 10 box touches for the match, along with one corner, which came in the first half. In four of their previous five matches, Saudi Arabia failed to earn a corner in one half.
Spain also put a stranglehold on Iraq’s forward progress in the first of two pre-tournament friendlies. Iraq failed to record a first-half corner before reaching three in the second half.
During March friendlies, Spain held Serbia and Egypt to one combined corner over two matches.
Based on those factors, I predict Saudi Arabia will fail to record a first-half corner.
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