USA vs Bosnia Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Below, bettors can find World Cup odds and a USA vs Bosnia prediction for their round of 32 meeting in Santa Clara.

USA vs Bosnia: World Cup Odds

USA vs Bosnia: Anytime Goal Odds

Bosnia vs USA Prediction

Based on Bosnia’s misleading attacking record against Qatar and the USMNT’s rest factor, my USA vs Bosnia prediction is Bosnia Under 0.5 Goals (+105).

Bosnia ran very lucky in attack through the entire group stage. The attack scored at least once in all three matches, but the successes came on low-percentage chances.

Over three matches, Bosnia scored five total goals against only 1.9 expected goals. By post-shot xG, the European nation created 2.23 tallies.

Most of that potential negative regression stems from a three-goal output against a bad Qatar team.

Bosnia scored twice inside halftime and finished with three goals off 0.7 xG and one psxG.

Their goal against Switzerland qualifies as a bit misleading. The attack found a goal on 93 minutes from 3-0 down while playing down a man.

Now they’re running into a USA defense that posted strong metrics against Paraguay and Australia.

While the defense allowed one goal to Paraguay, it came against 0.5 xG and 0.4 post-shot xG. Australia attempted only five shots against the US, failing to score off 0.2 xG.

By post-shot xG, the US delivered its best performance in a long time against the Socceroos. Australia (#26 in the ELO ratings) generated only 0.09 psxG, per FotMob.

Bosnia will begin the knockout stage ranked 59th in the ELO ratings. It places them behind teams like Jordan, Cape Verde, DR Congo and Panama.

Since last September, the USMNT has kept only one clean sheet (Matchday 2 against Australia). But this match offers their easiest test in quite some time.

Those factors, along with the US’s ability to rest key players against Turkey, leads me to predict another clean sheet for the USMNT defense.