{"id":441648,"date":"2026-10-01T17:05:58","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T21:05:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/?post_type=article-new&#038;p=441648"},"modified":"2026-10-01T17:05:58","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T21:05:58","slug":"steelers-browns-first-anytime-td-odds-picks-week-4-gaa","status":"publish","type":"article-new","link":"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/steelers-browns-first-anytime-td-odds-picks-week-4-gaa\/","title":{"rendered":"Browns-Steelers: First &#038; Anytime TD Odds &#038; Picks &#8211; Week 4"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<article><p>You can bet on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/football-11\/betting\/usa-9\/nfl-35\">NFL odds<\/a> for the First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer in the Browns-Steelers game this week.<\/p><p>Ahead of the Week 4 matchup on October 1, 2026 at Huntington Bank Field, here\u2019s a compilation of odds, trends, and data for the First TD and Anytime TD Scorer markets at BetMGM.<\/p><h2>First TD Scorer Odds &#038; Picks: Browns &#8211; Steelers<\/h2><p>Here are updated First TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):<\/p><table border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"3\" cellspacing=\"5\" style=\"width:100%;text-align:left;border-spacing: 1px;border-collapse: collapse; margin-bottom: 1rem;\"><thead><tr><th style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Player<\/th><th style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">First TD Odds<\/th><th style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Pick<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Jaylen Warren (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+333<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">23.1%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Quinshon Judkins (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+650<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">13.3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">D.K. Metcalf (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+900<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">10.0%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Michael Pittman Jr. (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+1250<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">7.4%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+1250<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">7.4%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Deshaun Watson (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+1350<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">6.9%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Pat Freiermuth (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+1400<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">6.7%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Denzel Boston (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+1550<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">6.1%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Kevin Concepcion (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+1600<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">5.9%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Roman Wilson (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+1800<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">5.3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Darnell Washington (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+2200<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">4.3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Jerry Jeudy (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+3300<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">2.9%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Aaron Rodgers (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+5000<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">2.0%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Jaleel McLaughlin (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+6600<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">1.5%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><h2>Anytime TD Scorer Odds &#038; Picks: Browns &#8211; Steelers<\/h2><p>Here are updated Anytime TD odds and picks (percentage chances using implied probability of the odds):<\/p><table border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"3\" cellspacing=\"5\" style=\"width:100%;text-align:left;border-spacing: 1px;border-collapse: collapse; margin-bottom: 1rem;\"><thead><tr><th style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Player<\/th><th style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Anytime TD Odds<\/th><th style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Pick<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Jaylen Warren (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">-118<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">54.1%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Quinshon Judkins (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+135<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">42.6%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">D.K. Metcalf (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+230<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">30.3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+270<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">27.0%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Deshaun Watson (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+300<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">25.0%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Michael Pittman Jr. (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+325<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">23.5%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Denzel Boston (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+325<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">23.5%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Kevin Concepcion (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+350<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">22.2%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Pat Freiermuth (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+390<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">20.4%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Roman Wilson (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+475<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">17.4%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Darnell Washington (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+600<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">14.3%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Jerry Jeudy (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+775<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">11.4%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Aaron Rodgers (PIT)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+1550<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">6.1%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Jaleel McLaughlin (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+2000<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">4.8%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">Malachi Corley (CLE)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">+2800<\/td><td style=\"padding: 0.5rem; border: 1px solid #000; text-align: center;\">3.4%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><h2>Will Jaylen Warren Score a TD This Week?<\/h2><p>Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there\u2019s a 54.1% chance Warren scores a touchdown this week against the Browns.<\/p><h2>Will Quinshon Judkins Score a TD This Week?<\/h2><p>Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there\u2019s a 42.6% chance Judkins scores a touchdown this week against the Steelers.<\/p><h2>Will D.K. Metcalf Score a TD This Week?<\/h2><p>Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there\u2019s a 30.3% chance Metcalf scores a touchdown this week against the Browns.<\/p><h2>Will Harold Fannin Jr. Score a TD This Week?<\/h2><p>Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there\u2019s a 27.0% chance Fannin scores a touchdown this week against the Steelers.<\/p><h2>Will Deshaun Watson Score a TD This Week?<\/h2><p>Using implied probability from his Anytime TD Odds, there\u2019s a 25.0% chance Watson scores a touchdown this week against the Steelers.<\/p><h2>First TD Scorer Trends<\/h2><ul><li>Harold Fannin Jr. has scored the first touchdown five times since the beginning of the 2024 season &#8211; most among active Browns players.<\/li><li>Rico Dowdle has scored the first touchdown five times since the beginning of the 2023 season &#8211; most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).<\/li><li>D.K. Metcalf has scored the first touchdown 12 times in his career &#8211; most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).<\/li><li>Deshaun Watson has scored the first touchdown seven times in his career &#8211; most among active Browns players (including playoffs).<\/li><li>Aaron Rodgers has scored the first touchdown five times in his career &#8211; T2nd-most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).<\/li><li>Michael Pittman Jr. has scored the first touchdown five times in his career &#8211; T2nd-most among active Steelers players (including playoffs).<\/li><li>Jaleel McLaughlin has scored the first touchdown four times in his career &#8211; 3rd-most among active Browns players (including playoffs).<\/li><li>Harold Fannin Jr. has scored the first touchdown in three of the Browns&#8217; last four home games.<\/li><li>Roman Wilson scored the first touchdown on a 38-yard pass from Aaron Rodgers in the Steelers&#8217; last outing, a 30-27 win against the Bengals.<\/li><li>Harold Fannin Jr. scored the first touchdown on a two-yard pass from Deshaun Watson in the Browns&#8217; last outing, a 21-18 win against the Panthers.<\/li><li>Harold Fannin Jr. scored the first touchdown on a 28-yard pass from Shedeur Sanders in the Browns&#8217; last outing against the Steelers, a 13-6 win.<\/li><\/ul><h2>First Touchdown Insights<\/h2><ul><li>The Browns have recorded the first touchdown in one of their three games this season [(including playoffs)].<\/li><li>The Steelers have also recorded the first touchdown in one of their three games this season [(including playoffs)].<\/li><\/ul><h2>First TD trends<\/h2><ul><li>The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last three home games.<\/li><li>The Browns have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games against the Steelers (including playoffs).<\/li><li>The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 15 games against AFC opponents (including playoffs).<\/li><\/ul><h2>Rushing\/Receiving Splits<\/h2><ul><li>The Browns have scored zero rushing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing zero rushing TDs.<\/li><li>The Browns have scored five passing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing six passing TDs.<\/li><li>The Steelers have scored zero rushing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing one rushing TDs.<\/li><li>The Steelers have scored four passing TDs from their three games this season , while allowing four passing TDs.<\/li><\/ul><p>Visit the sportsbook to bet on all <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/team\/cleveland-browns\/\">Browns odds<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/team\/pittsburgh-steelers\/\">Steelers odds<\/a> throughout the season.<\/p><\/article>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":441654,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"cybocfi_hide_featured_image":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[236],"previews-insights":[1311],"state":[],"team":[47,66],"league":[29],"level":[],"sport":[30],"gender":[],"bettingpreview":[],"event":[],"class_list":["post-441648","article-new","type-article-new","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sports","previews-insights-nfl-game-previews-insights","team-cleveland-browns","team-pittsburgh-steelers","league-nfl","sport-football"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Browns-Steelers: First &amp; Anytime TD Odds &amp; Picks - Week 4<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Which players will score touchdowns in this week&#039;s Steelers-Browns game? Find the latest First TD Scorer &amp; Anytime TD Scorer odds and picks at BetMGM.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/steelers-browns-first-anytime-td-odds-picks-week-4-gaa\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Browns-Steelers: First &amp; Anytime TD Odds &amp; Picks - Week 4\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Which players will score touchdowns in this week&#039;s Steelers-Browns game? 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