{"id":442239,"date":"2026-09-30T15:00:56","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T19:00:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/?post_type=article-new&#038;p=442239"},"modified":"2026-09-30T15:00:57","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T19:00:57","slug":"falcons-saints-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-picks-week-4-jaa","status":"publish","type":"article-new","link":"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/falcons-saints-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-picks-week-4-jaa\/","title":{"rendered":"Falcons vs Saints Prediction, Odds &amp; Best Prop Bets \u2013 NFL, Week 4"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The <span data-uid=\"90g82yK67ygj2wk113m\">Saints<\/span> are <span data-uid=\"T0G7k6kK6O5cLEQ0r9s\">-2.5<\/span> point favorites vs the <span data-uid=\"846YtBQWdH383sP6cw6\">Falcons<\/span><\/li>\n\n<li>Total (Over\/Under): <span data-uid=\"YpBd0eEf8dxuqmuCHmD\">46.5<\/span> points<\/li>\n\n<li>Watch this game on <span data-uid=\"vHkGt7eefI6a9I695lf\">ESPN | ESPD<\/span><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <span data-uid=\"g5sA8P7pdtwloOyAxNH\">Atlanta Falcons<\/span> (<span data-uid=\"jv0eUpuj6O2uttTQCHH\">1-2-0<\/span>) visit <span data-uid=\"n2k062gg35o0QNDo9Aq\">Caesars Superdome<\/span> to take on the <span data-uid=\"C2k3SY4TpV4a79g83bX\">New Orleans Saints<\/span> (<span data-uid=\"2Y5S8w9RABcvNlCFeh4\">1-2-0<\/span>) on <span data-uid=\"Fs8bAtiVA2aB07DNtmD\">Oct. 5<\/span>. Kickoff is scheduled for <span data-uid=\"guXjFK6K5u61gGlRVV4\">8:15 pm<\/span> in <span data-uid=\"8E0J787HhLxt0iBn5dD\">New Orleans, LA<\/span>.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The<strong> <span data-uid=\"29vUp4eWEwCbKT49OH8\">Saints<\/span> are betting favorites<\/strong> in this matchup, with the spread sitting at <strong><span data-uid=\"4LHd46IV5kW1K02gx62\">-2.5<\/span> <\/strong>(<span data-uid=\"3DvASCEt6F9ErHhnxOg\">-112<\/span>).<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <span data-uid=\"gGpNm6v8N5cdD5IP7r3\">Falcons<\/span> vs. <span data-uid=\"xHAcR05UK39vm1F1q8n\">Saints<\/span> <strong>Over\/Under<\/strong> is <span data-uid=\"0q3qKigEpP37Q23ddTX\">46.5<\/span> total points for the game.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on <span data-uid=\"vAh7TGVrh4NwIotxv9W\">Saints<\/span> vs <span data-uid=\"jRa911CD0L39J25NrLV\">Falcons<\/span> &amp; all NFL games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"h-away-team-vs-home-team-odds-spread-over-under\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"bBOQyUb3IF07w0JNif3\">Falcons<\/span> vs. <span data-uid=\"pVWe9Wiq6Lh0eF8veoY\">Saints<\/span> Odds, Spread, Over\/Under<\/h3>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table template-full-width-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Spread<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Total (O\/U)<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Moneyline<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span data-uid=\"ErDpuNI67J97JiP6f3O\">Falcons<\/span><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><span data-uid=\"QqPKkP0EC9p4p6uxf8d\">+2.5<\/span> <span data-uid=\"8CW64l06j9r17o8Xern\">-105<\/span><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><span data-uid=\"3p104DJ2YNQCe4o5nPh\">46.5<\/span> <span data-uid=\"vLQ33wSt953d0wcSjrq\">+100<\/span><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><span data-uid=\"6WQw9OeSs44k2TyG510\">+120<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span data-uid=\"S4U9Fcl4565095IDkuI\">Saints<\/span> <\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><span data-uid=\"4TJ32478WuOl7TxD7a4\">-2.5<\/span> <span data-uid=\"01Ksfa0SXF1LC22t1q1\">-112<\/span><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><span data-uid=\"RWmq2upq6XMXCE1ff3U\">46.5<\/span> <span data-uid=\"36OrQ6tG6CX62BB4cfB\">-135<\/span><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><span data-uid=\"2y3a2d1qM03pRdrTaqJ\">-145<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n<h2 id=\"h-away-vs-home-prediction\" class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-green-cyan-color has-text-color\"><span data-uid=\"pjwA8cGVi81pYgg0rsb\">Falcons<\/span> vs. <span data-uid=\"Gg9AhcHJ5vvlD822UOO\">Saints<\/span> Prediction<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The winning team model predicts the <strong><strong><span data-uid=\"HOrjsgJ6r255aB058UT\">Falcons<\/span><\/strong> will win<\/strong> this game with <strong><strong><span data-uid=\"x2sRuhK3nuydAx23776\">50.1%<\/span><\/strong><\/strong> confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive &amp; defensive matchups and recent game results.<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"h-away-vs-home-spread-prediction\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"17ywEvu2JVO30C6O3Uk\">Falcons<\/span> vs <span data-uid=\"VJp74oQ1J5J30Ao4LO6\">Saints<\/span> Spread Prediction<\/h3>\n\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color wp-block-paragraph\">Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the <strong><strong><span data-uid=\"Q21oI1o9qpeC81NQP2v\">Falcons<\/span><\/strong> will cover the spread<\/strong> with <strong><strong><span data-uid=\"mOqqTX4geGCIGi19qw9\">51.1%<\/span><\/strong><\/strong> confidence.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bet now on <span data-uid=\"Sd04iPiTOqnXV43Pw14\">Saints<\/span> vs <span data-uid=\"OoM7y071c3XLsggY5UI\">Falcons<\/span> and all NFL games with BetMGM<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button aligncenter\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-vivid-green-cyan-background-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" style=\"border-radius:19px\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>G<\/strong>et a New Player Offer<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We&#8217;ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for <span data-uid=\"i1T3dQATBL92941s4gv\">Falcons<\/span> players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"best-away-name-player-prop-bets-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best <span data-uid=\"lxIiTsfJx3Y1x78BsSl\">Falcons<\/span> Player Prop Bets Today<\/h2>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Olamide Zaccheaus has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units \/ 55% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units \/ 66% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.25 Units \/ 30% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.10 Units \/ 51% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.10 Units \/ 31% ROI)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And here are some top NFL player prop bets for <span data-uid=\"OxG39746PsvRCm5A4Wr\">Saints<\/span> players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"best-home-name-player-prop-best-bets-today\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best <span data-uid=\"2BHH993pqMd0m385ukO\">Saints<\/span> Player Prop Best Bets Today<\/h2>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Chris Olave has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units \/ 49% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>Tyler Shough has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units \/ 56% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>Tyler Shough has hit the Passing Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units \/ 55% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>Chris Olave has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units \/ 87% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>Alvin Kamara has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\t\t\t<h2>\n\t\t\tFirst Touchdown Scorer Bet for Saints vs Falcons\t\t\t<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t<table class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table\" role=\"table\">\n\t\t\t<thead>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-head\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<th class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"columnheader\">Player Name<\/th>\n\t\t\t\t\t<th class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"columnheader\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1st TD Odds\t\t\t\t\t<\/th>\n\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t<\/thead>\n\t\t\t<tbody>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>Bijan Robinson<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>+290<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>Alvin Kamara<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>+750<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>Chris Olave<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>+775<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>Drake London<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>+825<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>Devaughn Vele<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>+1350<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/tbody>\n\t\t\t<\/table>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>\n\t\t\tAnytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Saints vs Falcons\t\t\t<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t<table class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table\" role=\"table\">\n\t\t\t<thead>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-head\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<th class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"columnheader\">Player Name<\/th>\n\t\t\t\t\t<th class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"columnheader\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tAnytime TD Odds\t\t\t\t\t<\/th>\n\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t<\/thead>\n\t\t\t<tbody>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>Bijan Robinson<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>-220<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>Chris Olave<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>+115<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>Alvin Kamara<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>+125<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>Drake London<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>+140<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>Juwan Johnson<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>+230<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/tbody>\n\t\t\t<\/table>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>\n\t\t\tReceiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Saints vs Falcons\t\t\t<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t<table class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table\" role=\"table\">\n\t\t\t<thead>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-head\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<th class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"columnheader\">Player Name<\/th>\n\t\t\t\t\t<th class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"columnheader\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tOver\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/th>\n\t\t\t\t\t<th class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"columnheader\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tUnder\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/th>\n\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t<\/thead>\n\t\t\t<tbody>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>\n\n\t\t\t\tChris Olave\t\t\t\t<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<strong>84.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>84.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>\n\n\t\t\t\tDrake London\t\t\t\t<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<strong>74.5<\/strong> -145\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>74.5<\/strong> +105\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>\n\n\t\t\t\tDevaughn Vele\t\t\t\t<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<strong>44.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>44.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>\n\n\t\t\t\tBijan Robinson\t\t\t\t<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<strong>38.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>38.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>\n\n\t\t\t\tJuwan Johnson\t\t\t\t<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<strong>36.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>36.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/tbody>\n\t\t\t<\/table>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>\n\t\t\tRushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Saints vs Falcons\t\t\t<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t<table class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table\" role=\"table\">\n\t\t\t<thead>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-head\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<th class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"columnheader\">Player Name<\/th>\n\t\t\t\t\t<th class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"columnheader\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tOver\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/th>\n\t\t\t\t\t<th class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"columnheader\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tUnder\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/th>\n\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t<\/thead>\n\t\t\t<tbody>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>\n\n\t\t\t\tBijan Robinson\t\t\t\t<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<strong>85.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>85.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>\n\n\t\t\t\tAlvin Kamara\t\t\t\t<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<strong>38.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>38.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>\n\n\t\t\t\tBrian Robinson Jr.\t\t\t\t<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<strong>30.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>30.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t<tr class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-row\" role=\"row\">\n\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>\n\n\t\t\t\tKendre Miller\t\t\t\t<\/strong>\n\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<strong>25.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t<td class=\"betmgm-player-props-list-table-column\" role=\"cell\" style=\"text-align:center;\">\n\t\t\t\t<strong>25.5<\/strong> -115\t\t\t\t<\/td>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/tr>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/tbody>\n\t\t\t<\/table>\n\t\t\t\n\n<h2 id=\"positive-betting-trends-for-the-away-team-run-line-moneyline-run-totals\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"bg35PxDcoSrwSYG6v2W\">Falcons<\/span> Best Bets: <\/h2>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.35 Units \/ 56% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units \/ 41% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.63 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.55 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n<h2 id=\"positive-betting-trends-for-the-home-team-run-line-moneyline-run-totals\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"x3NXnr5NfFDUibE8lfi\">Saints<\/span> Best Bets: <\/h2>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.93 Units \/ 54% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.09 Units \/ 44% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.58 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n<h2 id=\"h-away-team-against-the-spread-ats-record\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"39i24NiCt1N1Un36G28\">Falcons<\/span> Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Against the spread<\/strong> this NFL season, the <span data-uid=\"fUic9t1L902Naok4LTb\">Falcons<\/span> are <span data-uid=\"D36W6IQraH7BOe3X5K7\">1-2<\/span> (<span data-uid=\"5W1AuokKNb3pyCSL3iD\">-1.2<\/span> Units \/ <span data-uid=\"wADT59h8E6omo392K4L\">-36.36%<\/span> ROI).<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><span data-uid=\"4na9mM4hmnDyIW519S2\">Falcons<\/span> are <span data-uid=\"w9EoOOXa9V7sMm1OEu8\">1-2<\/span> when betting on the <strong>Moneyline<\/strong> for <span data-uid=\"5njObKSkGJu6H6WMbmp\">+0<\/span> Units \/ <span data-uid=\"LMDaNrjYWXyv270W1H7\">0%<\/span> ROI<\/li>\n\n<li><span data-uid=\"w98U93bMF7TfIfOuG10\">Falcons<\/span> are <span data-uid=\"tNF12663ys24SAk5moP\">1-2<\/span> when betting the <strong>Over<\/strong> for <span data-uid=\"DmgDMF0eMiuyG4oa5ga\">-1.2<\/span> Units \/ <span data-uid=\"W7MAnslMr51y7Bgn6I1\">-36.36%<\/span> ROI<\/li>\n\n<li><span data-uid=\"6F39Xs2U1GyB4ln2B9N\">Falcons<\/span><span data-uid=\"6V2C9pLattJe19e724w\">Falcons<\/span><span data-uid=\"6F39Xs2U1GyB4ln2B9N\">Falcons<\/span> are <span data-uid=\"dnFW1hAkvCX92aKJVRo\">2-1<\/span> when betting the <strong>Under<\/strong> for <span data-uid=\"BYBuvxvjwjSdsqOD585\">+0.9<\/span> Units \/ <span data-uid=\"5cLaVMUuWXf3Qkel7QY\">27.27%<\/span> ROI<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-home-team-against-the-spread-ats-record\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"eL43GxgE7Y4T4RU6LxQ\">Saints<\/span> Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Against the spread<\/strong> this NFL season, the <span data-uid=\"SDKtii37Va5Y0388iG4\">Saints<\/span> are <span data-uid=\"0O5DcI4mPL6jREYcTJy\">2-1<\/span> (<span data-uid=\"NS33VHGiD6Md5F5P5y0\">+0.9<\/span> Units \/ <span data-uid=\"1e0FlKK66u3vx3Yj6k7\">27.27%<\/span> ROI).<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><span data-uid=\"82562c8J8RIUbySKtqe\">Saints<\/span> are <span data-uid=\"Se6AlyP5LlOcnVYQ2Du\">1-2<\/span> when betting on the <strong>Moneyline<\/strong> for <span data-uid=\"VIJsqx20ide1N2pc0Rm\">+0.25<\/span> Units \/ <span data-uid=\"QI9K4c86XEW1i364Itp\">6.25%<\/span> ROI<\/li>\n\n<li><span data-uid=\"mIpW2tgXu794v696Ua0\">Saints<\/span> are <span data-uid=\"7wR864nwA98wBNvMxN4\">2-1<\/span> when betting the <strong>Over<\/strong> for <span data-uid=\"3fsE1v0khQecTjNiabc\">+0.9<\/span> Units \/ <span data-uid=\"nPwOm630VtFXs38lSBo\">27.27%<\/span> ROI<\/li>\n\n<li><span data-uid=\"wi5DaY38ylHAA2ulloL\">Saints<\/span> are <span data-uid=\"4HBgWLE7FGTXyVhC61s\">1-2<\/span> when betting the <strong>Under<\/strong> for <span data-uid=\"bGIHvRITO2SpC77Lbhp\">-1.2<\/span> Units \/ <span data-uid=\"r4Hw07jX0bjkN8wyhYS\">-36.36%<\/span> ROI<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n<h2 id=\"anchor-keys-away\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"Ppheb8uUJmrx3P317A2\">Atlanta Falcons<\/span>: Keys to the Game vs. the <span data-uid=\"5fud0Vv3G0VUOo9sMRp\">New Orleans Saints<\/span><\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Falcons are 2-9 (.182) when making less than 3 explosive run plays in a game (5th-worst in NFL) and .778 when making 3 or more explosive run plays in a game since the 2025 season (9th-best in NFL).<\/p><p>The Falcons are winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes since the 2025 season &#8212; T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .335.<\/p><p>The Falcons are winless (0-6) whe trailing at the end of the first half since the 2025 season &#8212; T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .224.<\/p><p>The Falcons are 6-11 (.353) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2025 season &#8212; 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"anchor-keys-home\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"8I6fD1CqHbT74b2U4Cs\">New Orleans Saints<\/span>: Keys to the Game vs. the <span data-uid=\"8Q1cipD3n0ek2HCH91l\">Atlanta Falcons<\/span><\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Saints are winless (0-4) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush since the 2025 season &#8212; T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .428.<\/p><p>The Saints are 2-10 (.167) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2025 season &#8212; 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .442.<\/p><p>The Saints are winless (0-5) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2025 season &#8212; T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .198.<\/p><p>The Saints are 3-9 (.250) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2025 season &#8212; T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .423.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"matchup-notes\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Additional Matchup Notes for <span data-uid=\"26wqd0i39o62kWHk9rq\">Atlanta Falcons<\/span> vs. <span data-uid=\"h7j43BsbL0Y41579It1\">New Orleans Saints<\/span><\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Saints were successful on 87.5% of plays they ran on play action passes  last week &#8212; 3rd-best in NFL. The Falcons allowed a success rate of 75.0% on play action passes  last week &#8212; T-4th-worst in NFL.<\/p><p>Saints RBs have averaged just 0.8 yards after contact per carry   this season &#8212; worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 1.2 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season &#8212; T-3rd-best in NFL.<\/p><p>The Saints are averaging just 3.7 yards per carry on first down  since the 2025 season &#8212; T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 4.1 yards per carry on first down  since the 2025 season &#8212; T-4th-best in NFL.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Falcons have a third down conversion rate of just 33.5%  since the 2025 season &#8212; 4th-worst in NFL. The Saints defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 35.9%  since the 2025 season &#8212; 4th-best in NFL.<\/p><p>The Falcons had a third down conversion rate of 60.0%  last week &#8212; T-3rd-best in NFL. The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 58.3%  last week &#8212; T-5th-worst in NFL.<\/p><p>Falcons WRs have just 108.5 receiving yards per game  since the 2025 season &#8212; 5th-worst in NFL. The Saints have averaged just 119.8 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since the 2025 season &#8212; 4th-best in NFL.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"away-offense-stats\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"857la7Mjv8U1546HhIV\">Atlanta Falcons<\/span> Offense: Important Stats<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Falcons have averaged -1.40 epa per play against tight coverage this season &#8212; 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.43.<\/p><p>The Falcons have thrown the ball 8% of the time (1 Pass Attempts\/13 plays) in the red zone this season &#8212; lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.<\/p><p>The Falcons started 6 drives inside their own 20 yard line  in Week 3 &#8212; 2nd-most in NFL.<\/p><p>The Falcons have run successful plays on 77% of plays in the red zone this season &#8212; best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"home-offense-stats\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"2uk65aWTM3n64rGTC2k\">New Orleans Saints<\/span> Offense: Important Stats<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Saints have gone three and out 20 times in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season &#8212; most in NFL.<\/p><p>The Saints committed 5 turnovers  in Week 3 &#8212; T-most in NFL.<\/p><p>The Saints have gone three and out on 38% of their drives in the 1st quarter since the 2025 season &#8212; worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.<\/p><p>The Saints threw for 4 TDs  in Week 3 &#8212; T-most in NFL.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"away-defense-stats\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"1daBUPQ897lfx09w8Fs\">Atlanta Falcons<\/span> Defense: Important Stats<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Opponents have run the ball against The Falcons defense on just 26% of plays (48 carries\/187 plays)  this season &#8212; lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.<\/p><p>The Falcons defense has allowed 9 of 46 (20%) first downs on the ground  this season &#8212; 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.<\/p><p>The Falcons defense has allowed 150 rushing yards  this season &#8212; fewest in NFL.<\/p><p>Opponents ran the ball against The Falcons defense on just 14% of plays (9 carries\/63 plays)  in Week 3 &#8212; lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"home-defense-stats\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-uid=\"FQ25b2K24b5Q5dH1G3s\">New Orleans Saints<\/span> Defense: Important Stats<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 30% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2025 season &#8212; best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.<\/p><p>Offenses facing the Saints targeted TEs 32% of the time (33 Pass Attempts\/103 plays)  this season &#8212; highest in NFL; League Avg: 22%.<\/p><p>The Saints defense allowed an average of 0 yards after contact per carry (25 carries)  in Week 3 &#8212; T-best in NFL; League Avg: 1.6.<\/p><p>The Saints defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 4th quarter since the 2025 season &#8212; T-best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? <a style=\"font-weight: bold\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Bet now on <span data-uid=\"h3Eipd4O9x7y62A8mD6\">Saints<\/span> vs <span data-uid=\"53C75QD69thMRbhNS7g\">Falcons<\/span> and all NFL games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>More NFL Betting Predictions:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/first-anytime-touchdown-scorer-predictions-odds-picks-jaa-nfl\/\">Anytime &amp; First Touchdown Scorer Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/receiving-yards-predictions-props-odds-picks-jaa-nfl\/\">Receiving Yards Prop Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/rushing-yards-predictions-props-odds-picks-jaa-nfl\/\">Rushing Yards Prop Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/passing-yards-predictions-props-odds-picks-jaa-nfl\/\">Passing Yards Prop Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/total-receptions-predictions-props-odds-picks-jaa-nfl\/\">Receptions Made Prop Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/rushing-attempts-predictions-props-odds-picks-jaa-nfl\/\">Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/passing-touchdowns-predictions-props-odds-picks-jaa-nfl\/\">Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/quarterback-interception-predictions-props-odds-picks-jaa-nfl\/\">QB Interception Prop Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/kicker-field-goal-predictions-props-odds-picks-jaa-nfl\/\">Field Goals Made Prop Predictions<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/betting-previews\/nfl\/\">NFL Betting Previews: Every Game<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-more-nfl-odds-at-betmgm\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">More NFL Odds at BetMGM<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you\u2019re looking for more NFL odds, check out the sportsbook\u2019s betting markets throughout the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From futures like&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/team\/los-angeles-rams\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rams Super Bowl odds<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/team\/detroit-lions\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Lions odds to make the playoffs<\/a>&nbsp;to game odds like spread, money lines, and totals, there\u2019s never a break in the action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Log in to your BetMGM account today \u2014 or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM iOS app<\/a>&nbsp;or&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.playmgm.nj.sports&amp;hl=en_US&amp;gl=US\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Android app<\/a>&nbsp;\u2014 to start betting!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":359031,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"cybocfi_hide_featured_image":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[236],"previews-insights":[],"state":[],"team":[111,48],"league":[29],"level":[],"sport":[30],"gender":[],"bettingpreview":[232],"event":[],"class_list":["post-442239","article-new","type-article-new","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sports","team-atlanta-falcons","team-new-orleans-saints","league-nfl","sport-football","bettingpreview-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Falcons vs Saints Prediction, Odds &amp; Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 4<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Saints vs Falcons prediction &amp; odds for this Week 4 game. Plus best bets &amp; picks for receiving &amp; rushing player props, 1st TD scorer &amp; more.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nfl\/falcons-saints-prediction-odds-player-prop-bets-picks-week-4-jaa\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Falcons vs Saints Prediction, Odds &amp; Best Prop Bets \u2013 NFL, Week 4\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Saints vs Falcons prediction &amp; odds for this Week 4 game. 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