{"id":446983,"date":"2026-10-17T12:48:50","date_gmt":"2026-10-17T16:48:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/?post_type=article-new&#038;p=446983"},"modified":"2026-10-17T12:49:00","modified_gmt":"2026-10-17T16:49:00","slug":"penguins-golden-knights-prediction-odds-picks-oct-17-2026-jaa","status":"publish","type":"article-new","link":"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/nhl\/penguins-golden-knights-prediction-odds-picks-oct-17-2026-jaa\/","title":{"rendered":"Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction, Odds &amp; Best Bets Today &#8211; NHL, Oct 17"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The <span data-uid=\"1RL2bii534VLSVq69RW\">Golden Knights<\/span> are a <span data-uid=\"m6p20O19SEpN4X0yGVq\">-1.5<\/span> goal favorite vs. the <span data-uid=\"wi633BbRA0fX4E3S7ue\">Penguins<\/span><\/li>\n\n<li><span data-uid=\"2x8IK2U2e00p40982X8\">Penguins<\/span> vs. <span data-uid=\"9G9o395p3V09YR201LO\">Golden Knights<\/span> Total (Over\/Under): <span data-uid=\"k74X71Oc7uAmD8JXDu4\">6.5<\/span> goals<\/li>\n\n<li>TV Channel: <span data-uid=\"yGjq8Blvl5777l8On92\">SNPT | SCRI | ESPN+<\/span><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong><span data-uid=\"G8VYjnWSx91R01u5u3N\">Pittsburgh Penguins<\/span><\/strong> (<span data-uid=\"8jXQ3Ih0VRa02Mi04ku\">3-4-1<\/span>) visit <span data-uid=\"jSM5n35EC02xD99QjVr\">T-Mobile Arena<\/span> to take on the<strong> <span data-uid=\"62s2v5rCi9WPCFH11ba\">Vegas Golden Knights<\/span> <\/strong>(<span data-uid=\"9l1k3x593RVrB0AlCd9\">7-2-0<\/span>) on <span data-uid=\"Ww595k3ycuQ54Yx43Nh\">Oct. 17<\/span> in <span data-uid=\"7b06Thn582FR0SFY0sX\">Paradise, NV<\/span>. The puck drop is scheduled for <span data-uid=\"OshlslxI05Bo83124dQ\">10:00 pm<\/span>.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong><span data-uid=\"74Tfn4rPm0Mtn6Nc5Ik\">Golden Knights<\/span> are betting favorites<\/strong> in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at <span data-uid=\"C5wEqXX4d6Rdp6UXYPd\">-1.5<\/span> (<span data-uid=\"57mXl1BN6SBjb6Y7Ke8\">+110<\/span>).<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <span data-uid=\"e2L34y6vnNcGGSXQ2Cj\">Penguins<\/span> vs. <span data-uid=\"h09Hf8tn5e9x1m345ta\">Golden Knights<\/span> Over\/Under is <span data-uid=\"u35C19k2DfC20f6pi1M\">6.5<\/span> total goals.<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"h-away-team-vs-home-team-odds-spread-over-under\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"T99hGFpjBHS1rq2sVjx\">Penguins<\/span> vs. <span data-uid=\"208uGn43NBNiekwO429\">Golden Knights<\/span> Odds, Spread, Over\/Under:<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td><strong>Spread<\/strong> <strong>(Puck line)<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Total (O\/U)<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>2-Way Moneyline<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong><span data-uid=\"7NQ1G18MIBB50bUuLgO\">Penguins<\/span><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><span data-uid=\"PS74VJ0FM6iSFF3lxa6\">+1.5<\/span>    <span data-uid=\"w9UupTndAiddo4SINB7\">-135<\/span><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><span data-uid=\"f68qHf387p3u1e2Q9TV\">6.5<\/span>   <span data-uid=\"1Ou9IhYIVkVe5vi1bW2\">+100<\/span><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><span data-uid=\"27t3I194lo8627qsUaS\">+170<\/span><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong><span data-uid=\"9c301p5H2QQf36F9F4V\">Golden Knights<\/span><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><span data-uid=\"0qv19w2Sg9e58DqGA94\">-1.5<\/span>   <span data-uid=\"nJgu4B231G0JDYVU7e3\">+110<\/span><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><span data-uid=\"baFu67JGM0tTe7tN7u6\">6.5<\/span>   <span data-uid=\"n5kdO7kAtlaYTY87WCL\">-120<\/span><\/strong><\/td><td><strong><span data-uid=\"be9eex4KPs1fl4hM54c\">-210<\/span><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n<h2 id=\"h-away-vs-home-prediction\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"2XM5BwA42s6jFQWL4A8\">Penguins<\/span> vs <span data-uid=\"wGBBH9BeY87yi900y30\">Golden Knights<\/span> Prediction:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The winning team model predicts the <strong><span data-uid=\"5kMWg8FPO660UG9p6M3\">Golden Knights<\/span> will win<\/strong> this game with <span data-uid=\"q3pPNi8Xgb928XB8T8C\">67.7%<\/span> confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.<\/p>\n\n<h2 id=\"h-away-vs-home-spread-prediction\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"h255mqIEwcIM7RAvGNa\">Penguins<\/span> vs <span data-uid=\"M1WrE4iNC30iCjFgOB5\">Golden Knights<\/span> Spread Prediction:<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the <strong><span data-uid=\"qWD2t50W1h51s31l6eP\">Penguins<\/span> will cover the spread<\/strong> with <span data-uid=\"wwIvdacC6RQ5F44jgK7\">52.9%<\/span> confidence.<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/hockey-12\/betting\/usa-9\/nhl-34\"><strong>NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-away-team-best-bets-amp-trends\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"SCStFLkolkJ3cljHe3l\">Penguins<\/span> Best Bets &amp; Trends<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 away games (+11.70 Units \/ 39% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 1P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.15 Units \/ 27% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Pittsburgh Penguins have covered the 2P Puck Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+8.50 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 1P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Pittsburgh Penguins have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units \/ 29% ROI)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n<h2 id=\"h-home-team-best-bets-amp-trends\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"uglsS858lfh00CWFthW\">Golden Knights<\/span> Best Bets &amp; Trends<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.95 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.00 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 3P Game Total Over in 12 of their last 25 games (+7.00 Units \/ 21% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 2P Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games at home (+6.65 Units \/ 16% ROI)<\/li>\n\n<li>The Vegas Golden Knights have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.95 Units \/ 23% ROI)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n<h2 id=\"h-away-team-against-the-spread-ats-record\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"5qpJ2FnhJA5S24136ph\">Penguins<\/span> Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span data-uid=\"9X5VSpuCv9f4oTsYY25\">Penguins<\/span> <\/strong>are <strong><span data-uid=\"fMxbBJH9J0etx7VAWYF\">4-4<\/span> against the spread<\/strong> this NHL season (<strong><span data-uid=\"KccAd9lK7HyaPt73bv9\">-1.2<\/span> <\/strong>Units \/ <strong><span data-uid=\"4580NpM820q2m647135\">-8.6%<\/span> <\/strong>ROI).<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong><span data-uid=\"kubueNXv5x6IcyFVXmC\">Penguins<\/span><\/strong> are <strong><span data-uid=\"w526XdIT9Qt15TaqNx7\">3-5<\/span><\/strong> when betting on the <strong>Moneyline<\/strong> for <strong><span data-uid=\"U5B73grDBs0bjDTyfLq\">-2.7<\/span><\/strong> Units \/<strong><span data-uid=\"16dM73t1J7JTAmWT60R\">-28.27%<\/span> <\/strong>ROI<\/li>\n\n<li><strong><span data-uid=\"4Jk7EhNL3n4BA8g23o6\">Penguins<\/span> <\/strong>are <strong><span data-uid=\"kQ9Fr2Hm2q2LctGykLT\">5-3<\/span> <\/strong>when betting the <strong>Over<\/strong> for <strong><span data-uid=\"fM75e2AVG44iNMJJ83K\">+1.6<\/span><\/strong> Units \/ <strong><span data-uid=\"HBroQdfXnscYm1a4NHt\">17.3%<\/span><\/strong> ROI<\/li>\n\n<li><strong><span data-uid=\"3B6qX3Paiy8b7Sn9oH1\">Penguins<\/span> <\/strong>are <strong><span data-uid=\"FogALs80lf2oUir5Xrj\">3-5<\/span> <\/strong>when betting the <strong>Under<\/strong> for <strong><span data-uid=\"Me406A1tB93c5yHWLc1\">-2.15<\/span> <\/strong>Units \/<span data-uid=\"i1B29vBQ2T444NC4k33\">-25.15%<\/span> ROI<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-home-team-against-the-spread-ats-record\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"jBO53l15oHbF8US0lwL\">Golden Knights<\/span> Against the Spread (ATS) Record<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span data-uid=\"oI13jUV3u8VOqq4FHCd\">Golden Knights<\/span> <\/strong>are <strong><span data-uid=\"E1RhPXEYNCtooLG59kI\">4-5<\/span> against the spread<\/strong> this NHL season (<strong><span data-uid=\"CL7mEN6F18LWrB4KJVb\">+0.3<\/span> <\/strong>Units \/<strong><span data-uid=\"1uBRbph9U93OI849q00\">3.24%<\/span><\/strong> ROI).<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong><span data-uid=\"5Xy7xTSJ8jq14lW0UO3\">Golden Knights<\/span> <\/strong>are <strong><span data-uid=\"76hn0og9mghLXb2vwA2\">7-2<\/span><\/strong> when betting on the <strong>Moneyline<\/strong> for <strong><span data-uid=\"42JVR0gp7DoFSHew0a5\">+3.85<\/span> <\/strong>Units \/ <strong><span data-uid=\"2mU2N2aVQ9uah7YVFFR\">21.81%<\/span> <\/strong>ROI<\/li>\n\n<li><strong><span data-uid=\"fWo5OuBT5973578GcCx\">Golden Knights<\/span> <\/strong>are <strong><span data-uid=\"tKx8y2RVjY610baHSt9\">6-2<\/span><\/strong> when betting the <strong>Over<\/strong> for <strong><span data-uid=\"Y9Vo4QLqM8hM81HdP61\">+4.05<\/span> <\/strong>Units \/ <strong><span data-uid=\"I4676ccG9cS462sH8B0\">40.7%<\/span> <\/strong>ROI<\/li>\n\n<li><strong><span data-uid=\"FBEFpxWOAmdKrtO5DcC\">Golden Knights<\/span> <\/strong>are <strong><span data-uid=\"0XVTPsGj2PA1V86tE70\">2-6<\/span><\/strong> when betting the <strong>Under<\/strong> for <strong><span data-uid=\"4NLHh5kb08DFO38yyu6\">-4.7<\/span> <\/strong>Units \/ <strong><span data-uid=\"bc2EQd0q27KmRqp7fWR\">-46.31%<\/span> <\/strong>ROI<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-away-team-keys-to-the-game-vs-home-team\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"0F44H25Av55V4JOC51W\">Penguins<\/span>: Keys to the Game vs. <span data-uid=\"vaRgvv0oKjE0q7551xh\">Golden Knights<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Penguins are 2-5 (.286)  this season &#8212; 6th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500<\/p><p>The Penguins were winless (0-24) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals last season &#8212; lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .165<\/p><p>The Penguins are 16-31 (.340) when tied after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season &#8212; 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500<\/p><p>The Penguins are winless (0-27) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2025-26 season &#8212; lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .163<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"h-home-team-keys-to-the-game-vs-away-team\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"bRFcc6741JW52aAD9uH\">Golden Knights<\/span>: Keys to the Game vs. <span data-uid=\"20NWjUQ6u7F98uTQNh3\">Penguins<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Golden Knights are 89-75 (.543)  since the start of the 2024-25 season &#8212; 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500<\/p><p>The Golden Knights are 5-2 (.714)  this season &#8212; tied for 4th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .500<\/p><p>The Golden Knights are 1-26 (.037) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2025-26 season &#8212; 2nd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .163<\/p><p>The Golden Knights are 4-45 (.082) when scoring 2 or fewer non-shootout goals since the start of the 2024-25 season &#8212; 3rd lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .153<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"h-away-team-offensive-stats-amp-trends\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"sCd5T2112WSN0hjr46e\">Penguins<\/span> Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Penguins have 61 cycle chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season &#8212; most among NHL Teams<\/p><p>The Penguins have 1,056 slot shots in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2025-26 season &#8212; 2nd most among NHL Teams<\/p><p>The Penguins have 16.1 slot shots per game  since the start of the 2025-26 season &#8212; 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 13.9<\/p><p>The Penguins have 34 inner slot shots in the second period this season &#8212; most among NHL Teams<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"h-home-team-offensive-stats-amp-trends\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"09MRv5qn2jEXNAOu32V\">Golden Knights<\/span> Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Golden Knights had 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded last season &#8212; most among NHL Teams<\/p><p>The Golden Knights have 66 inner slot shots  this season &#8212; tied for 2nd most among NHL Teams<\/p><p>The Golden Knights have scored on 21% of rush chances  this season &#8212; tied for 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 12%<\/p><p>The Golden Knights have 5 forecheck chances while shorthanded since the start of the 2025-26 season &#8212; most among NHL Teams<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"h-away-team-defensive-stats-amp-trends\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"cUXATg7m13AvYGor1tt\">Penguins<\/span> Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances  in the 2024-25 season &#8212; highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 11%<\/p><p>The Penguins have made 1.0 saves per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season &#8212; tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.7<\/p><p>The Penguins allowed opponents to score on 16% of rush chances in 5v5 situations in the 2024-25 season &#8212; highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 10%<\/p><p>The Penguins have allowed 0.5 high danger chances per game while their opponent is shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season &#8212; tied for 2nd highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4<\/p>\n\n<h3 id=\"h-home-team-defensive-stats-amp-trends\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span data-uid=\"fD3PysxBSsdvDshGm6g\">Golden Knights<\/span> Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Golden Knights allowed 7 forecheck chances in overtime last season &#8212; most among NHL Teams<\/p><p>The Golden Knights have a .794 slot save percentage in the first period since the start of the 2025-26 season &#8212; lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .838<\/p><p>The Golden Knights have allowed 9 forecheck chances in overtime since the start of the 2024-25 season &#8212; most among NHL Teams<\/p><p>The Golden Knights have allowed 0.80 expected goals per game in the third period since the start of the 2025-26 season &#8212; best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.03<\/p>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":441891,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"cybocfi_hide_featured_image":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[236],"previews-insights":[],"state":[],"team":[324,317],"league":[235],"level":[],"sport":[234],"gender":[],"bettingpreview":[1314],"event":[],"class_list":["post-446983","article-new","type-article-new","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sports","team-pittsburgh-penguins","team-vegas-golden-knights","league-nhl","sport-hockey","bettingpreview-nhl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.7 (Yoast SEO v28.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Penguins vs Golden Knights, Prediction, Odds &amp; Best Bets Today - NHL, Oct. 17<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Golden Knights vs Penguins prediction, hockey best bets, picks 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