- The Yankees (78-51) are -190 favorites vs the Angels (56-73)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (12-4), 3.89 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Michael Mayers (1-0), 4.45 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (-190) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+155) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Yankees vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 77-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 61-65 ATS.
Yankees vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -115 | -190 |
| Angels | +1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -105 | +155 |
Yankees vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 away games (+11.55 Units / 88% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 32 away games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+10.15 Units / 67% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 49 of his last 57 games (+32.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 62 games (+20.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 52 games (+18.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jared Walsh has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+11.55 Units / 72% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 63 games at home (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 55-71 against the Run Line (-18.45 Units / -12.61% ROI).
- 77-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -1.41% ROI
- 57-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -9.92% ROI
- 64-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 0.97% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 61-65 against the Run Line (-9 Units / -5.76% ROI).
- 56-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.55 Units / -15.15% ROI
- 56-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.15 Units / -8.03% ROI
- 61-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.11% ROI
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 8 of 316 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of just 59% when ahead in the count (eighth lowest)– 13th Percentile and 75% when behind in the count this season (third highest among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 22% (127/579) against Jameson Taillon this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 18th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (12/83) against Jameson Taillon with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Michael Mayers: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .107 (6-for-56) against Mike Mayers on inside fastballs since the start of last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .109 (7-for-64) against Mike Mayers on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.
Mike Mayers has allowed a slugging percentage of .640 (32 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .328 — 0 Percentile.
Mike Mayers has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.062 (34 Total Bases / 32 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .556 — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Yankees are 9-33 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Yankees are 45-20 (.692) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Yankees are 14-10 (.583) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 5-55 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Angels are just 6-32 (.158) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 992 walks in 9,487 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .748 (3,411 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .554 (6,138 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Angels are batting just .220 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Angels hitters have 360 strikeouts in 1,447 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .300 (1,351 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.3 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 341 of 4,732 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Angels pitchers have walked 8 of 63 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,026 of 11,016 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Angels vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Undisclosed, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Leg, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
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