- The Yankees are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (-125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+105) on Sunday, April 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Yankees vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 15-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 15-12 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -115 | -125 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -105 | +105 |
Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 74% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 away games (+6.85 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Rangers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Martin Perez | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 13-15 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -5.05% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -3.23% ROI
- 9-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -35.22% ROI
- 18-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 26.46% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 15-12 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 6.95% ROI).
- 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 6.92% ROI
- 16-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 16.44% ROI
- 10-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -25.71% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (16/79) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 16% (10/63) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 12% (4/34) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .095 (2-for-21) against Nestor Cortes’ elevated fastball this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 93rd Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .288 (32-for-111) against Martin Perez this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 31% (17/55) against Martin Perez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
42% of Martin Perez’s strikeouts are looking this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (14/81) against Martin Perez this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Yankees are 21-33 (.389) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 16-9 (.640) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rangers are just 69-13 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Rangers are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Rangers are just 35-33 (.515) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 33 walks in 238 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .577 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Yankees are batting just .188 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .295 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .439.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .295 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .301 (259 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Rangers are batting .339 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 43% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 2% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 158 of 1,680 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Yankees vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
