- The Rays are -185 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jhony Brito
- Rays starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The New York Yankees (+150) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-185) on Friday, May 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Yankees vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 17-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 21-11 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 +100 | +150 |
| Rays | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -120 | -185 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 29 games (+8.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 away games (+7.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+15.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.85 Units / 111% ROI)
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jhony Brito | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 games (+0.65 Units / 1% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+17.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 15-17 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -3.49% ROI).
- 17-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -4% ROI
- 10-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -37.36% ROI
- 21-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.95 Units / 28.15% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 21-11 against the Run Line (+11.3 Units / 31.39% ROI).
- 26-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.5 Units / 29.54% ROI
- 17-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 9.77% ROI
- 12-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -20.09% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jhony Brito has located his fastball up for a strike just 42% (43/102) of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (17/108) against Jhony Brito this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Jhony Brito has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (93/213) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Jhony Brito has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (65/142) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yonny Chirinos has allowed an OBP of just .180 (50 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 98th Percentile.
Yonny Chirinos has allowed an OPS of just .371 (50 PA’s) this season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 97th Percentile.
Yonny Chirinos has allowed an OPS of just .470 (33 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 11th best among among 103 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — 90th Percentile.
Yonny Chirinos has an ERA of 0.64 (14.0 IP)this season — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.95 — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 21-34 (.382) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Yankees are just 0-6 (.000) when underdogs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Yankees are 24-25 (.490) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Yankees are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Rays are 3-6 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rays are 12-110 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rays are 7-5 (.583) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 196 walks in 1,813 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .320 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Yankees hitters have drawn 34 walks in 264 PA’s (13%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .247 (150 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .550 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters are slugging .582 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .900 (531 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .950 (261 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 2% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Rays pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 481 of 7,097 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Forearm, D15
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Head, Day-to-Day
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Oswald Peraza (Yankees): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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