- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Reds
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Reds starting pitcher: Edward Lively
- Watch the game on BSOH
The New York Yankees (-175) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+145) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Yankees vs Reds Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 26-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 25-18 ATS.
Yankees vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -115 | O 10.5 -110 | -175 |
| Reds | +1.5 -105 | U 10.5 -110 | +145 |
Yankees vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 44 games (+13.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.25 Units / 71% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+12.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Reds vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Reds vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 25-21 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 8.75% ROI).
- 26-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 5.46% ROI
- 21-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -10.5% ROI
- 24-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 1.77% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 25-18 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 10.95% ROI).
- 19-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -5.01% ROI
- 23-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 2.99% ROI
- 20-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -11.39% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .918 (67 Total Bases / 73 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .589 — first Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (56 Total Bases / 84 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .421 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .369 (31-for-84) against Clarke Schmidt this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.320 (33 Total Bases / 25 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .645 — 0 Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Lively has not walked any of the 21 batters that he has faced over the last 14 days (2 games) — tied for best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (5/32) against Ben Lively over the last 14 days (2 games) — 12th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 27% — 11th Percentile.
Ben Lively has a strikeout rate of just 10% (2 SO in 21 PAs) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 7th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 14% (3/21) against Ben Lively on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (2 games) — 7th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — eighth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 24-38 (.387) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Yankees are 9-7 (.562) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Yankees are 46-20 (.697) after a home win since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .540.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Reds are just 21-23 (.477) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Reds are just 17-44 (.279) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Reds are 6-20 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Reds are 7-16 (.304) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 213 walks in 1,966 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .216 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Yankees hitters have drawn 51 walks in 417 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .737 (2,443 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have won just 17% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Reds hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .216 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .443 (874 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 42% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Reds pitchers have walked 768 of 7,893 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .321 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .358 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Reds vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Terry Friedl (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Oswald Peraza (Yankees): Ankle, D10
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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