Auburn vs Georgia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

• The Georgia Bulldogs are a -18.5 point favorite vs. the Auburn Tigers
• Auburn vs. Georgia Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN

Auburn (3-2) visit Sanford Stadium to take on Georgia (6-0) on Oct. 17 in Athens, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Georgia Bulldogs are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-135).

The Auburn vs. Georgia Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Auburn vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Auburn vs Georgia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 62.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Auburn Tigers and the Georgia Bulldogs, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Auburn vs Georgia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 59.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Auburn Best Bets Today

• Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Auburn have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.95 Units / 2% ROI)
• Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Georgia Best Bets Today

• Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 9% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 0% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn Tigers is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.45 Units / -62.16% ROI).

• Auburn is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.75% ROI
• Auburn is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -61.11% ROI
• Auburn is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 51.79% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Bulldogs is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.36% ROI).

• Georgia is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 6.29% ROI
• Georgia is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 58.38% ROI
• Georgia is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.42 Units / -67.79% ROI

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was 1-5 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Georgia is undefeated (13-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .591

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia is undefeated (13-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .617

Georgia was undefeated (9-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. Georgia

Georgia’s TEs gained 545 yards on 43 receptions (12.7 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense allowed 11.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia’s TEs had 43 receptions in 14 games (just 3.1 per game) last season — 3rd-worst among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense allowed 19.8 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia’s RBs had 58 receptions in 14 games (4.1 per game) last season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Auburn’s defense allowed 19.8 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 6.4% of 360 attempts last season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 6.4% of 360 attempts last season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 18.1 receptions (326 Rec/18 TDs) since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 11.6

Auburn WRs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– most among SEC Teams

Auburn TEs have been targeted 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– fewest among SEC Teams

Auburn’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 6.4% of 360 attempts last season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 6.4% of 360 attempts last season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia WRs have averaged 23.6 yards per reception (212 yards/9 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 13.4

Georgia WRs have averaged 23.6 yards per reception (212 yards/9 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Georgia RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among SEC Teams

Georgia Skill Players have caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among SEC Teams

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 19 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Auburn has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (4 completions/12 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%

Auburn has allowed 42.6 carries per game (213 carries / 5 games) this season– highest in the SEC; Average: 33.7

Auburn has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 33 carries (11 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 4.7

Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 19 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 12%.

Georgia Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 78 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 17%.

Georgia allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 3 of their 29 carries (10%) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 3%

Georgia has allowed first downs on 50% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 20%

Georgia has allowed 75.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 139.2

The Georgia defense has allowed scores on 15% of opponent drives (14/91) this season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: 23%

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