Duke vs Georgia Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:32 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Duke Blue Devils (4-3) visit Bobby Dodd Stadium at Historic Grant Field to take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-3) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in Atlanta.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Duke vs. Georgia Tech is total points.

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Duke vs. Georgia Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Duke
Georgia Tech

Duke vs Georgia Tech Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 53.4% confidence.

Duke vs Georgia Tech Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Georgia Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Duke Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Duke players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jalon Calhoun has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games (+5.07 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games (+6.20 Units / 155% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)

Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Duke has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Duke is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Duke is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Duke is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Georgia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Tech has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Georgia Tech is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Georgia Tech is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Georgia Tech is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Tech

Duke is 2-14 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

Duke is 5-16 (.192) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .458

Duke is 3-15 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

Duke is 3-16 (.158) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .505

Georgia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Duke

Georgia Tech is 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble — 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444

Georgia Tech is 1-10 (.091) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .448

Georgia Tech is 1-8 (.083) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .335

Georgia Tech is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .366

Matchup Notes for Duke vs. Georgia Tech

Duke’s receiving corps has 7 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fewest among Power 5 WR corps. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 35 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-most among P5 defenses.

Duke has 12 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fewest among Power 5 skill players. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 35 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — third-most among ACC defenses.

Duke has 12 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fewest among Power 5 skill players. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 35 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-most among P5 defenses.

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends

Duke Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.2 receptions (17 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Duke Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.2 receptions (17 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Duke Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 26.7 receptions (320 Rec/12 TDs) since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Duke WRs have just one touchdown on 10 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Duke Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 26.7 receptions (320 Rec/12 TDs) since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.3

Georgia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 25 receptions since last season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.4

Georgia Tech TEs have averaged 22.7 yards per reception (68 yards/3 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

Georgia Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (60 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Georgia Tech Skill Players have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (527 yards/60 catches) this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.2

Georgia Tech Kickers have averaged 53.2 yards per kickoff (266 yards/5 kickoffs) since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.4

Duke Blue Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Duke has allowed 14.9 yards per completion (4,796 yards/322 completions) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.3

Duke has allowed 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (7,554 yards / 918 touches) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6.7

Duke has allowed 52.7 receiving yards per game (843/16) to RBs since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 26.7

Duke has allowed 10.8 Yards per Attempt (868 yards/80 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7.5

Duke has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (8 completions/18 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 62%

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (4,531 yards/303 completions) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.3

Georgia Tech has allowed a passer rating of 162.7 (471.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 129.4

Georgia Tech has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 70 of 471 attempts (15%) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Georgia Tech has allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (35 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.7

Georgia Tech has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (4,531 yards/303 completions) since last season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 12.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.