Duke vs Georgia Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

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Georgia Tech's LaMiles Brooks (20) defends during the first half of an NCAA football game against Clemson on Monday, Sept. 5, 2022, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/Stew Milne)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2024, 11:49 AM
  • The Georgia Tech is a -9 point favorite vs. Duke
  • The Duke vs. Georgia Tech Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The Duke Blue Devils (5-0) visit Bobby Dodd Stadium at Hyundai Field to take on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-2) on Oct. 5 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Georgia Tech is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -9 (-115).

The Duke vs. Georgia Tech Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Duke vs. Georgia Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Duke+9 -10554.5 -110+280
Georgia Tech -9 -11554.5 -110-350

Duke vs Georgia Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia Tech will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Georgia Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Duke vs Georgia Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+12.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 22% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Duke players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Duke Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jordan Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jaquez Moore has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Grayson Loftis has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Grayson Loftis has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Haynes King has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jamal Haynes has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Eric Singleton Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Haynes King has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.15 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Malik Rutherford has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Duke is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI).

  • Duke is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 18.58% ROI
  • Duke is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -41.44% ROI
  • Duke is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.95 Units / 35.78% ROI

Georgia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Tech is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • Georgia Tech is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 10.5% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI

Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Tech

Duke is 6-2 (.750) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Duke is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .628

Duke is 12-3 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .618

Duke is 11-3 (.786) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .630

Georgia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Duke

Georgia Tech is 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .543

Georgia Tech is 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .487

Georgia Tech is 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509

Georgia Tech is 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 25th-worst in FBS; Average: .440

Matchup Notes for Duke vs. Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 149 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.5% of attempts this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 149 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.5% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,380 passing yards in 5 games (276.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense has allowed just 155.8 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Duke’s WRs has been targeted 143 times this season — 4th-most among Power 5 WRs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 1,145 receiving yards this season — 4th-most among ACC defenses.

Duke’s QBs has rushed for 373 yards on 99 carries (3.8 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS teams. Georgia Tech’s defense have allowed 4.9 YPC since the 2023 season — worst among ACC defenses.

Duke’s QBs has rushed for 373 yards on 99 carries (3.8 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS teams. Georgia Tech’s defense have allowed 4.9 YPC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends

Duke TEs have averaged 39.0 yards per reception (78 yards/2 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.2

Duke WRs had no touchdowns on 11 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.5

Duke TEs have averaged 39.0 yards per reception (78 yards/2 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.0

Duke WRs have been targeted 36 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams

Duke WRs have been targeted 36 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– most among Power Conference Teams

Georgia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 149 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.5% of attempts this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 149 attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.5% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,380 passing yards in 5 games (276.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense has allowed just 155.8 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s offense has thrown for 1,380 passing yards in 5 games (276.0 YPG) this season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense has allowed just 155.8 passing yards per game this season — best among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech QBs have rushed for 7 TDs this season– 5th-most among FBS Teams

Duke Blue Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Duke opponents has averaged 5.9 Passing Attempts per TD (59 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9

Duke opponents has averaged 38.7 Passing Attempts per TD (580 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 20.5

Duke has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 4 of 580 attempts (1%) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Duke has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (34 completions/82 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

Duke has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 17 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech has no interceptions and 8 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.6

Georgia Tech has no interceptions and 8 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.3

Georgia Tech has no interceptions (145 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.5

Georgia Tech has no interceptions (145 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 32.1

Georgia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 13 rushing attempts (31% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.