Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

• Michigan State Spartans is a -17 point favorite vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles
• Eastern Michigan vs. Michigan State Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
• TV Channel: BTN

Eastern Michigan (1-1) visit Spartan Stadium to take on Michigan State (1-0) on Sep. 12 in East Lansing, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Michigan State Spartans are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -17 (-105).

The Eastern Michigan vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Eastern Michigan vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this game with 81.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Eastern Michigan Eagles and the Michigan State Spartans, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Eastern Michigan vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 65.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Eastern Michigan Best Bets Today

• Eastern Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• Eastern Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• Eastern Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• Eastern Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• Eastern Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Michigan State Best Bets Today

• Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Michigan State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)

Eastern Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Eastern Michigan Eagles is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Eastern Michigan is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -3.33% ROI
• Eastern Michigan is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
• Eastern Michigan is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan State Spartans is 0-0 against the spread this college football season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

• Michigan State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 24.39% ROI
• Michigan State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Michigan State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State

Eastern Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Eastern Michigan was 2-4 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Eastern Michigan was 2-7 (.222) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Eastern Michigan was 1-4 (.200) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan

Michigan State was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Michigan State was 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Michigan State was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Michigan State was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Matchup Notes for Eastern Michigan vs. Michigan State

Michigan State’s TEs had 57 receptions in 12 games (4.8 per game) last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 14.8 receptions per game last season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Michigan State’s TEs had 57 receptions in 12 games (4.8 per game) last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 14.8 receptions per game last season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State’s RBs averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch last season — T-24th-worst among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed 12.2 RAC last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Michigan State’s defense allowed 11.4 RAC last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs averaged 6.0 targets per game last season — T-20th-highest among FBS RBs. Michigan State’s defense allowed 4.7 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Eastern Michigan’s RBs had 58 receptions in 12 games (4.8 per game) last season — T-18th-best among FBS RBs. Michigan State’s defense allowed 20.2 receptions per game last season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan were sacked just once on 99 pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 13.7

Eastern Michigan RBs had 10 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Eastern Michigan were sacked 2 times on 104 pass attempts (one sack every 52.0 pass attempts) on 3rd down last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10.9

Eastern Michigan WRs averaged 22.8 yards per reception (525 yards/23 catches) in close and late situations last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Eastern Michigan were sacked 11 times on 403 pass attempts (one sack every 36.6 pass attempts) last season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 15.7

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State’s TEs had 57 receptions in 12 games (4.8 per game) last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 14.8 receptions per game last season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Michigan State were sacked on 18% of pass attempts (17/95) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 7%

Michigan State’s TEs had 57 receptions in 12 games (4.8 per game) last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 14.8 receptions per game last season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State threw 0 TDs on 40 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.8

Michigan State TEs had just one touchdown on 50 receptions last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Eastern Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan did not record a sack (24 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Eastern Michigan forced 4 fumbles on 505 carries (126.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 47.1

Eastern Michigan has sacked opposing QBs just once on 65 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.2

Eastern Michigan forced 4 fumbles on 505 carries (126.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 48.1

Eastern Michigan allowed 230.2 rushing yards per game (2,763/12) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 163.1

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State did not record a sack (51 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.8

Michigan State did not record a sack (51 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2

Michigan State had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 31.0

Michigan State had no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.7

Michigan State did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 29 rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 12%.

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