- The Missouri Tigers are a -10 point favorite vs. the Arkansas Razorbacks
- Missouri vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
Missouri (5-2) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on Arkansas (3-4) on Oct. 31 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45 pm.
The Missouri Tigers are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -10 (-108).
The Missouri vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Missouri vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Missouri | -10 -108 | 47.5 +110 | -375 |
| Arkansas | +10 -110 | 47.5 -145 | +300 |
Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 59.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Missouri Tigers and the Arkansas Razorbacks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
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Missouri Best Bets Today
- Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.00 Units / 2% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Arkansas Best Bets Today
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri Tigers is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI).
- Missouri is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 5.96% ROI
- Missouri is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.42 Units / -18.39% ROI
- Missouri is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.11% ROI
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas Razorbacks is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Arkansas is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -15.79% ROI
- Arkansas is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Arkansas is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
Missouri was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Missouri was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604
Missouri was undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Missouri was 8-3 (.727) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri
Arkansas is 1-13 (.071) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .488
Arkansas is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .507
Arkansas is winless (0-12) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509
Arkansas is 4-9 (.308) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .685
Matchup Notes for Missouri vs. Arkansas
Arkansas’s QBs threw for 3,155 passing yards in 12 games (262.9 YPG) last season — 28th-best among FBS teams. Missouri’s defense allowed just 173.5 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Arkansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 381 attempts last season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s offense threw for 3,155 passing yards in 12 games (262.9 YPG) last season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed just 173.5 passing yards per game last season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s offense threw for 2,444 passing yards in 13 games (just 188.0 YPG) last season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 239.2 passing yards per game last season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s offense threw for 2,444 passing yards in 13 games (just 188.0 YPG) last season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 239.2 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
Missouri’s TEs had 41 receptions in 13 games (just 3.2 per game) last season — 4th-worst among SEC TEs. Arkansas’s defense allowed just 17.8 receptions per game last season — T-5th-best among SEC defenses.
Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends
Missouri have thrown 0 TDs on 16 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.2
Missouri TEs averaged just 7.8 yards per reception (186 yards/24 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 11.9
Missouri WRs have been targeted 60 times on 3rd down this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Missouri’s offense threw for 2,444 passing yards in 13 games (just 188.0 YPG) last season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 239.2 passing yards per game last season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri WRs averaged a touchdown every 23.0 receptions (161 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 11.4
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas WRs have no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
Arkansas WRs have no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9
Arkansas WRs averaged 25.8 yards per reception (620 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Arkansas Skill Players averaged 20.6 yards per reception (743 yards/36 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Arkansas TEs averaged 19.2 yards per reception (844 yards/44 catches) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1
Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends
Missouri has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 231 carries (77 Carries Per TD) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 28.3
Missouri sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone last season– most in the SEC
Missouri has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 231 carries (77 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 27.6
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 24 of 101 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 24 of 101 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8
Arkansas has allowed 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (192 yards / 22 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 5.0
Arkansas has allowed 18 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC
Arkansas has allowed 54 TDs in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.8
Arkansas has allowed 13.1 yards per completion (4,362 yards/332 completions) since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11.2
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