Missouri vs Georgia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

• The Georgia Bulldogs are a -14 point favorite vs. the Missouri Tigers
• Missouri vs. Georgia Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
• TV Channel: ABC | DIS+

Missouri (6-3) visit Sanford Stadium to take on Georgia (8-1) on Nov. 14 in Athens, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Georgia Bulldogs are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -14 (-135).

The Missouri vs. Georgia Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Missouri vs Georgia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts will win this game with confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Missouri Tigers and the Georgia Bulldogs, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Missouri vs Georgia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts will cover the spread with confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Georgia Bulldogs vs Missouri Tigers and all games with BetMGM

Missouri Best Bets Today

• Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)
• Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)

Georgia Best Bets Today

• Georgia have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.39 Units / 43% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 1% ROI)
• Georgia have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Georgia have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri Tigers is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI).

• Missouri is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 5.41% ROI
• Missouri is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.52 Units / -15.32% ROI
• Missouri is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.07% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Bulldogs is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).

• Georgia is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -8.15% ROI
• Georgia is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.62 Units / 26.04% ROI
• Georgia is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.52 Units / -35.77% ROI

Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Missouri was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Missouri was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632

Missouri was 6-1 (.857) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631

Missouri is 14-5 (.737) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .593

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri

Georgia is undefeated (14-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .587

Georgia is 9-2 (.818) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .438

Georgia is 9-2 (.818) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .484

Georgia is 15-1 (.938) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Matchup Notes for Missouri vs. Georgia

Georgia’s WRs gained 2,133 yards on 186 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) last season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Missouri’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia gained 3,085 yards on 287 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) last season — T-4th-worst among SEC skill players. Missouri’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s WRs gained 2,133 yards on 186 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) last season — T-2nd-worst among SEC WRs. Missouri’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Missouri’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 360 attempts last season — T-25th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Missouri’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 360 attempts last season — T-25th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Missouri’s WRs has averaged just 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends

Missouri’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 360 attempts last season — T-25th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Missouri’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 360 attempts last season — T-25th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Missouri WRs have been targeted 78 times on 3rd down this season– most among SEC Teams

Missouri WRs have 34 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among SEC Teams

Missouri’s WRs has averaged just 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia WRs averaged 35.0 yards per reception (140 yards/4 catches) last week– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.1

Georgia WRs have averaged 20.3 yards per reception (386 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 13.2

Georgia gained 40+ yards on 2 of their 9 receptions (22%) last week– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Georgia Skill Players have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (226 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7

Georgia Skill Players averaged 28.3 yards per reception (170 yards/6 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last week– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.7

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends

Missouri defense allowed 6 completions for 20 or more yards last week– most in the SEC

Missouri allowed 6 receptions for 20+ yards last week– most in the SEC

Missouri tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 31 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 115 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Missouri has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 115 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Georgia Defensive Stats & Trends

The Georgia defense has allowed scores on 7% of opponent drives (2/31) in the 1st quarter this season– best in FBS; Average: 20%

The Georgia defense allowed scores on 8% of opponent drives (1/12) last week– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 26%

The Georgia defense has allowed scores on 16% of opponent drives (21/135) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24%

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 91 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 17%.

Georgia has allowed 68.8 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– best in FBS; Average: 137.6

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