Nevada vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:00 AM
  • UNLV (4-7) are -12.5 point favorites vs Nevada (2-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 49 points
  • Watch the game on MW Network

The Nevada Wolf Pack (2-10) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels (5-7) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Las Vegas.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nevada vs. UNLV Over/Under is total points.

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Nevada vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nevada
UNLV

Nevada vs UNLV Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 65.9% confidence.

Nevada vs UNLV Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Nevada and UNLV, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+5.10 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)

Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nevada has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Nevada is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -52.63% ROI
  • Nevada is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.52% ROI
  • Nevada is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.45 Units / -4.11% ROI

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UNLV is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -37.53% ROI
  • UNLV is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • UNLV is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

Nevada is 1-9 (.091) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .355

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada

UNLV is winless (0-14) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .425

UNLV is 1-12 (.077) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .448

UNLV is 1-8 (.111) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .494

UNLV is 2-13 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .383

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends

Nevada Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 29.5 receptions (177 Rec/6 TDs) this season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Nevada Skill Players have just one touchdown on 8 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Nevada Skill Players have no touchdowns on 25 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Nevada QBs have 20 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Nevada RBs have averaged just 3.6 Yards per Carry (889 yards/244 carries) — tied for 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

UNLV Skill Players have just one touchdown on 65 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

UNLV RBs have no touchdowns on 30 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.1

UNLV Kickers have averaged 54.7 yards per kickoff (4,979 yards/91 kickoffs) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.2

UNLV Punters have punted 2.3 times per game since last season– 2nd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

UNLV RBs have rushed for 9 TDs on 72 carries (8 Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– best Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.9

Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends

Nevada has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 18 of 107 attempts (17%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 10%

Nevada has forced 29 fumbles since last season– tied for 4th most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Nevada has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 18 of 107 attempts (17%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Nevada has allowed first downs on 23% of pass attempts on 1st down since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%

UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (8 completions/10 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 55%

UNLV has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (48 completions/68 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

UNLV has allowed 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (102 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short this season– tied for 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.1

UNLV has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 9 of 584 attempts (1%) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

UNLV has allowed opponents to catch 392 of 585 passes (67% Reception Pct) since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.