North Texas vs UTSA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Conference USA Championship

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 02, 2022, 12:40 PM
  • UTSA (10-2) are -8.5 point favorites vs North Texas (7-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 67.5 points
  • Watch the Conference USA Championship game on CBS Sports Network

The North Texas Mean Green (7-6) visit Alamodome to take on the UTSA Roadrunners (11-2) on Dec. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in San Antonio.

are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at ().

The North Texas vs. UTSA Over/Under is total points.

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North Texas vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Conference USA Championship:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Texas
UTSA

North Texas vs UTSA Prediction, Conference USA Championship:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 67.1% confidence.

North Texas vs UTSA Spread, Conference USA Championship:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and UTSA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games (+14.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)

North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Texas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • North Texas is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 10.28% ROI
  • North Texas is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • North Texas is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UTSA is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 21.12% ROI
  • UTSA is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • UTSA is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

North Texas is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for best in FBS; Average: .561

North Texas is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .562

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas

#23 UTSA is undefeated (14-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .620

#23 UTSA is 15-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .540

#23 UTSA is 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .406

#23 UTSA is 13-3 (.765) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .421

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

North Texas WRs have averaged 18.5 yards per reception (1,743 yards/94 catches) this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

North Texas Skill Players have averaged 15.7 yards per reception (2,607 yards/166 catches) this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

North Texas RBs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs have averaged 19.5 yards per reception (1,270 yards/65 catches) in the 1st half this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

North Texas TEs have been targeted 60 times on 3rd down since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

#23 UTSA WRs have caught 31 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– 5th most among FBS Teams

#23 UTSA RBs have averaged 10.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (151 yards / 15 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since last season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

#23 UTSA WRs have caught 14 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

#23 UTSA WRs have picked up first downs on 13 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

#23 UTSA WRs have picked up first downs on 27 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends

North Texas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 75 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

North Texas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 38 of 402 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

North Texas has allowed 240.8 receiving yards per game (2,408/10) to WRs this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 165.0

North Texas has allowed 12.1 Yards per Attempt (556 yards/46 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.1

North Texas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 38 of 402 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends

#23 UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (33 completions/90 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

#23 UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (33 completions/90 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

#23 UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 33 of 90 passes (37% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

#23 UTSA has allowed opponents to catch just 33 of 90 passes (37% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

#23 UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (17 completions/45 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.