Northwestern vs Oregon Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

• The Oregon Ducks are a -3.5 point favorite vs. the Northwestern Wildcats
• Northwestern vs. Oregon Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
• TV Channel: PEAC

Northwestern (6-1) visit Autzen Stadium to take on Oregon (4-3) on Oct. 31 in Eugene, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Oregon Ducks are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-108).

The Northwestern vs. Oregon Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on Oregon Ducks vs Northwestern Wildcats & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Northwestern vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Northwestern vs Oregon Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Northwestern Wildcats and the Oregon Ducks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Northwestern vs Oregon Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Oregon Ducks vs Northwestern Wildcats and all games with BetMGM

Northwestern Best Bets Today

• Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 64% ROI)
• Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• Northwestern have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)

Oregon Best Bets Today

• Oregon have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Oregon has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• Oregon has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.73 Units / 34% ROI)

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern Wildcats is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.85 Units / 37.01% ROI).

• Northwestern is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 22.63% ROI
• Northwestern is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.25 Units / -3.27% ROI
• Northwestern is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -3.87% ROI

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon Ducks is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.52 Units / -45.6% ROI).

• Oregon is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.2 Units / -44.51% ROI
• Oregon is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.11% ROI
• Oregon is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.42 Units / -18.39% ROI

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

Northwestern was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Northwestern was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Northwestern was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Northwestern was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

Oregon was undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Oregon was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Oregon was undefeated (13-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .575

Oregon was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .429

Matchup Notes for Northwestern vs. Oregon

Oregon’s WRs gained 2,211 yards on 159 receptions (13.9 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense allowed 11.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Oregon’s TEs gained 1,096 yards on 86 receptions (12.7 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense allowed 11.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Oregon’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 15.6% of 435 attempts last season — T-3rd-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.5% of attempts last season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 378 attempts last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern’s QBs threw for 2,417 passing yards in 13 games (just 185.9 YPG) last season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Oregon’s defense allowed just 157.9 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern’s QBs threw for 2,417 passing yards in 13 games (just 185.9 YPG) last season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Oregon’s defense allowed just 157.9 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern TEs have averaged 17.2 yards per reception (429 yards/25 catches) this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.5

Northwestern’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 378 attempts last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern WRs have caught 9 of 10 passes (90% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 58%

Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 16.2 yards per reception (356 yards/22 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.4

Oregon QBs have 30 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams

Oregon TEs have 29 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2024 season– most among Big Ten Teams

Oregon have thrown for 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Offenses

Oregon Skill Players caught 70 of 87 passes(81% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (9 completions/27 attempts) last week– best in FBS; Average: 62%

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (9 completions/27 attempts) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%

Northwestern allowed opponents to catch just 9 of 27 passes (33% Reception Pct) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 64%

Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (4 completions/16 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 53%

Oregon Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon had no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed last week– T-2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 0.8

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%

Oregon allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations last season– most in the Big Ten

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (113 completions/221 attempts) in the 1st half last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 64%

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (341 completions/632 attempts) since the 2024 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 62%

Bet now on Oregon Ducks vs Northwestern Wildcats and all games with BetMGM

More College Football Betting at BetMGM

College football betting is available at the online sportsbook throughout the season.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Indiana football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State odds this week, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!