- The Air Force are a -12 point favorite vs. the San Jose State Spartans
- San Jose State vs. Air Force Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
San Jose State (5-5) visit Falcon Stadium to take on Air Force (7-2) on Nov. 14 in U.S. Air Force Academy, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Air Force are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -12 (-108).
The San Jose State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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San Jose State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Jose State | +12 -110 | 49.5 -145 | +375 |
| Air Force | -12 -108 | 49.5 +110 | -475 |
San Jose State vs Air Force Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 80.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the San Jose State Spartans and the Air Force, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Jose State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 63.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Jose State Best Bets Today
- San José State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- San José State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 57% ROI)
- San José State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- San José State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- San José State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Air Force Best Bets Today
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)
San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose State Spartans is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- San Jose State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- San Jose State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- San Jose State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27% ROI).
- Air Force is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 6.33% ROI
- Air Force is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.07% ROI
- Air Force is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.52 Units / -15.32% ROI
San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force
San Jose State is 1-10 (.091) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .390
San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .429
San Jose State is 3-7 (.300) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .464
San Jose State was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State
Air Force is winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .464
Air Force is winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
Air Force is 5-1 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .573
Air Force is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
Matchup Notes for San Jose State vs. Air Force
Air Force gained 1,581 yards on 84 receptions (18.8 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s QBs threw for 1,512 passing yards in 11 games (just 137.5 YPG) last season — 8th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense allowed 245.2 passing yards per game last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s offense threw for 1,581 passing yards in 11 games (just 143.7 YPG) last season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense allowed 245.2 passing yards per game last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s offense threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense allowed 279.5 passing yards per game last season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
San Jose State’s QBs threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Air Force’s defense allowed 279.5 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State gained 3,335 yards on 265 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Air Force’s defense allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception last season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State RBs have averaged 10.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (159 yards / 15 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
San Jose State TEs have averaged just 4.3 yards per reception (26 yards/6 catches) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
San Jose State RBs have averaged 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (290 yards / 33 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
San Jose State’s offense threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense allowed 279.5 passing yards per game last season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
San Jose State RBs averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (715 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 6.1 receptions per game (122/20) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0
Air Force WRs have averaged just 2.8 receptions per game (25/9) this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Air Force have averaged just 4.3 receptions per game (39/9) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.0
Air Force WRs have averaged just 4.1 receptions per game (82/20) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Air Force have averaged 17.4 yards per completion (2,138 yards/123 completions) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8
San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State has allowed a Completion Pct of 83% (24 completions/29 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
San Jose State has sacked opponents 36 times this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
The San Jose State defense has allowed scores on 9% of opponent drives (3/34) in the 1st quarter this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 20%
San Jose State did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
San Jose State has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (36/323) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends
Air Force has allowed 54.6 receiving yards per game (1,091/20) to RBs since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 24.2
Air Force allowed 79.5 receiving yards per game (875/11) to RBs last season– worst in FBS; Average: 25.1
Air Force did not record a sack (10 pass attempts) last week– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.0
Air Force has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 40 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Air Force has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 40 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%.
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