Stanford vs Virginia Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

Virginia Tech helmets lined up before an NCAA football game against South Carolina on Sunday, Aug. 31, 2025, in Atlanta. South Carolina won 24-11. (AP Photo/Mike Buscher)
(AP Photo/Mike Buscher)
  • The Virginia Tech are a -17 point favorite vs. the Stanford Cardinal
  • Stanford vs. Virginia Tech Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

Stanford (4-5) visit Lane Stadium to take on Virginia Tech (6-3) on Nov. 14 in Blacksburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.

The Virginia Tech are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -17 (+100).

The Stanford vs. Virginia Tech Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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Stanford vs. Virginia Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+17 -13560.5 -145+525
Virginia Tech -17 +10060.5 +110-700

Stanford vs Virginia Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Virginia Tech will win this game with 86.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Stanford Cardinal and the Virginia Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Stanford vs Virginia Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Stanford will cover the spread with 69.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.20 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford Cardinal is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.64 Units / -36.26% ROI).

  • Stanford is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 3.33% ROI
  • Stanford is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
  • Stanford is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -58% ROI

Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Tech is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.62 Units / 6.34% ROI).

  • Virginia Tech is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.72 Units / 27.53% ROI
  • Virginia Tech is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.29% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech

Stanford was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Stanford was winless (0-8) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Stanford was winless (0-8) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Stanford was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

Virginia Tech was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Virginia Tech is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Virginia Tech was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Virginia Tech is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .411

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech’s QBs threw for 1,996 passing yards in 12 games (just 166.3 YPG) last season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense allowed 288.9 passing yards per game last season — worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s offense threw for 1,995 passing yards in 12 games (just 166.2 YPG) last season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense allowed 288.9 passing yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech’s QBs threw for 1,996 passing yards in 12 games (just 166.3 YPG) last season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense allowed 288.9 passing yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Stanford’s TEs had 60 receptions in 12 games (5.0 per game) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Virginia Tech’s defense allowed just 19.5 receptions per game last season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.

Stanford has 641 receptions in 33 games (just 19.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense has allowed just 18.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Stanford had 224 receptions in 12 games (just 18.7 per game) last season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Virginia Tech’s defense allowed just 19.5 receptions per game last season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford TEs have averaged 19.4 yards per reception (136 yards/7 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.8

Stanford RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 184 carries (inf Carries Per TD) last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4

Stanford QBs have averaged just -5.3 Yards per Carry (-217 yards/41 carries) in the 1st half since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1

Stanford Skill Players have averaged 17.9 yards per reception (573 yards/32 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4

Stanford Skill Players have averaged just 7.6 yards per reception (295 yards/39 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech TEs have been targeted 31 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Virginia Tech TEs have averaged 8.1 receptions per game (73/9) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Virginia Tech TEs have been targeted 10.8 times per game (97/9) this season– 4th-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Virginia Tech RBs averaged 12.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (112 yards / 9 touches) on 1st down last week– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Virginia Tech RBs averaged 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Stanford Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Stanford has intercepted 6 of 739 attempts (123.2 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 39.3

Stanford has intercepted 6 of 739 attempts (123.2 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 40.5

Stanford has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

Stanford has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.5

Virginia Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 76 of 283 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Virginia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 76 of 283 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Virginia Tech has not recorded a sack (66 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.4

Virginia Tech has not recorded a sack (66 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3

Virginia Tech allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (22 completions/57 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go last season– best in FBS; Average: 61%


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