- The Texas Tech Red Raiders are a -14.5 point favorite vs. the Colorado Buffaloes
- Texas Tech vs. Colorado Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Texas Tech (4-0) visit Folsom Field to take on Colorado (2-2) on Oct. 3 in Boulder, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (+110).
The Texas Tech vs. Colorado Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
Bet now on Colorado Buffaloes vs Texas Tech Red Raiders & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Texas Tech vs. Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas Tech | -14.5 +110 | 49.5 -105 | -450 |
| Colorado | +14.5 -145 | 49.5 -125 | +360 |
Texas Tech vs Colorado Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 73.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Colorado Buffaloes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas Tech vs Colorado Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Colorado Buffaloes vs Texas Tech Red Raiders and all games with BetMGM
Texas Tech Best Bets Today
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 0% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Colorado Best Bets Today
- Colorado has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech Red Raiders is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 6.04% ROI
- Texas Tech is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado Buffaloes is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Colorado is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Colorado is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -28.09% ROI
- Colorado is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.69% ROI
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado
Texas Tech is undefeated (14-0) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .674
Texas Tech is 16-1 (.941) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .602
Texas Tech is 10-1 (.909) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .621
Texas Tech is 9-2 (.818) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .504
Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Colorado is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .469
Colorado is 5-10 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .696
Colorado is 2-10 (.167) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .519
Colorado is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .554
Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Colorado
Colorado’s TEs gained 149 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.4 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Colorado’s TEs had 20 receptions in 10 games (just 2.0 per game) last season — T-2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20.4 receptions per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado’s TEs gained 149 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.4 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception last season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s RBs averaged 9.9 yards after the catch last season — T-19th-best among FBS RBs. Colorado’s defense allowed 11.0 RAC to RBs last season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s RBs averaged 9.9 yards after the catch last season — T-19th-best among FBS RBs. Colorado’s defense allowed 13.5 RAC last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s WRs had 184.5 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense allowed just 130.8 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech Skill Players have caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Texas Tech QBs had 24 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams
Texas Tech QBs have 28 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2024 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas Tech have thrown 4 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-9th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.9
Texas Tech Skill Players have just one touchdown on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 1.9
Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado WRs averaged 23.3 receptions per game (303/13) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.6
Colorado WRs averaged 23.3 receptions per game (303/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Colorado WRs averaged 23.3 receptions per game (303/13) last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2
Colorado TEs averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Colorado RBs have fumbled 4 times this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech has forced 32 fumbles since the 2024 season– most in the Big 12
Texas Tech has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 11 rushes in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 5.1
Texas Tech has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 112 rushes this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.8
Texas Tech has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 112 rushes this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 35.2
The Texas Tech defense has allowed scores on 14% of opponent drives (41/296) since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 24%
Colorado Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (39/391) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%
Colorado sacked opponents 39 times last season– most in the Big 12
Colorado averaged 3.0 sacks per game last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 1.9
Colorado has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 7 of 24 attempts (29%) on 3rd and long this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%
Colorado has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 7 of 24 attempts (29%) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
Bet now on Colorado Buffaloes vs Texas Tech Red Raiders and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
College football betting is available at the online sportsbook throughout the season.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Indiana football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State odds this week, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
