- The West Virginia Mountaineers are a +10.5 point favorite vs. the Virginia Cavaliers
- Virginia vs. West Virginia Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
Virginia (2-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on West Virginia (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Charlotte, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The West Virginia Mountaineers are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at +10.5 (-112).
The Virginia vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Virginia vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Virginia | -10.5 -105 | 53.5 -108 | -400 |
| West Virginia | +10.5 -112 | 53.5 -110 | +310 |
Virginia vs West Virginia Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 67.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Virginia Cavaliers and the West Virginia Mountaineers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Virginia vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Virginia Best Bets Today
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.15 Units / 1% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 42% ROI)
West Virginia Best Bets Today
- West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- West Virginia have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Virginia Cavaliers is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Virginia is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 55.56% ROI
- Virginia is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Virginia is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia Mountaineers is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- West Virginia is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.67% ROI
- West Virginia is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- West Virginia is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia
Virginia was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Virginia was 3-1 (.750) when in a one score game last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Virginia was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Virginia was 1-5 (.167) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia
West Virginia was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
West Virginia was 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
West Virginia was 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .460
West Virginia was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Matchup Notes for Virginia vs. West Virginia
West Virginia’s offense threw for 2,267 passing yards in 12 games (just 188.9 YPG) last season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense allowed just 195.6 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
West Virginia’s QBs threw for 2,238 passing yards in 12 games (just 186.5 YPG) last season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense allowed just 195.6 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
West Virginia’s offense threw for 2,267 passing yards in 12 games (just 188.9 YPG) last season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense allowed just 195.6 passing yards per game last season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Virginia’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch last season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. West Virginia’s defense allowed 12.6 RAC last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Virginia’s WRs had just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among ACC WRs. West Virginia’s defense allowed 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Virginia’s WRs had just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. West Virginia’s defense allowed 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
Virginia threw for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– 2nd-most among FBS Offenses
Virginia threw for 6 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Offenses
Virginia RBs carried the ball 86 times on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams
Virginia WRs averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia gained 40+ yards on 2 of their 8 receptions (25%) last week– T-2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
West Virginia averaged 26.1 yards per completion (209 yards/8 completions) last week– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.4
West Virginia averaged 26.1 yards per reception (209 yards/8 catches) last week– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.4
West Virginia completed passes for 40+ yards on 2 of their 12 total passing attempts (17%) last week– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 3%
West Virginia Skill Players averaged 26.1 yards per reception (209 yards/8 catches) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends
Virginia allowed a Completion Pct of just 15% (2 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Virginia allowed a Completion Pct of just 15% (2 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 63%
Virginia averaged a sack every 34.3 pass attempts (377 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8
Virginia had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5
Virginia allowed first downs on 15% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 51%
West Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 386 attempts (5%) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%
West Virginia allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.7
West Virginia allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 386 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
West Virginia allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
West Virginia allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6
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