Western Kentucky vs Georgia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

Georgia head coach Kirby Smart watches a play during the first half of the Southeastern Conference championship NCAA college football game against Alabama in Atlanta, Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • Georgia Bulldogs is a -41 point favorite vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
  • Western Kentucky vs. Georgia Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

Western Kentucky (0-1) visit Sanford Stadium to take on Georgia (1-0) on Sep. 12 in Athens, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:45 pm.

The Georgia Bulldogs are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -41 (-108).

The Western Kentucky vs. Georgia Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

Bet now on Georgia Bulldogs vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Western Kentucky vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Kentucky+41 -11255.5 -118+12500
Georgia -41 -10855.5 -102+1

Western Kentucky vs Georgia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 93.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the Georgia Bulldogs, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Western Kentucky vs Georgia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 66.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Georgia Bulldogs vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and all games with BetMGM


  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Western Kentucky is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Western Kentucky is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Bulldogs is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 95.24% ROI).

  • Georgia is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Georgia is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Georgia is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Western Kentucky was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Western Kentucky was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

Western Kentucky was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Western Kentucky was 7-2 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia was undefeated (9-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Georgia was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464

Matchup Notes for Western Kentucky vs. Georgia

Georgia’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC WRs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s RBs had 1 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 1.1 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has gained 645 yards on 49 receptions (13.2 YPR) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s WRs averaged 26.5 targets per game last season — T-10th-highest among FBS WRs. Georgia’s defense allowed 13.9 receptions per game to WRs last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch last season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Georgia’s defense allowed just 5.7 RAC to RBs last season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs had 56 receptions in 13 games (4.3 per game) last season — T-27th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia’s defense allowed 19.9 receptions per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky’s WRs averaged 26.5 targets per game last season — T-10th-highest among FBS WRs. Georgia’s defense allowed 13.9 receptions per game to WRs last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch last season — T-12th-worst among FBS RBs. Georgia’s defense allowed just 5.7 RAC to RBs last season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky’s RBs had 56 receptions in 13 games (4.3 per game) last season — T-27th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia’s defense allowed 19.9 receptions per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Western Kentucky’s WRs had 222 receptions in 13 games (17.1 per game) last season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia’s defense allowed 13.9 receptions per game to WRs last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Kentucky WRs had no touchdowns on 24 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.7

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Skill Players caught 68 of 86 passes(79% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 62%

Georgia WRs averaged 25.3 yards per reception (76 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 10.7

Georgia TEs averaged 30.0 yards per reception (60 yards/2 catches) with over 10 yards to go last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.4

Georgia Skill Players fumbled 6 times in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Georgia Skill Players picked up first downs on 28 receptions in close and late situations last season– most among SEC Teams

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Kentucky allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (4 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%

Western Kentucky opponents averaged 38.4 Passing Attempts per TD (461 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.0

Western Kentucky allowed first downs on 15% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 52%

Western Kentucky allowed 9 rushing TDs on 78 carries (8.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5

Western Kentucky allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (4 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 63%

Georgia Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 16%.

Georgia sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (20/458) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Georgia averaged a sack every 22.9 pass attempts (458 Pass Attempts/20 Sacks) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13.1


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