- The Senators are a -1.5 goal favorite vs. the Islanders
- Islanders vs. Senators Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals
- TV Channel: MSGS | RDS | TSN5 | ESPN+
The New York Islanders (3-3-0) visit Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators (5-2-0) on Oct. 15 in Ottawa, ON. The puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Senators are betting favorites in this NHL hockey matchup, with the puck line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Islanders vs. Senators Over/Under is 5.5 total goals.
Islanders vs. Senators Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread (Puck line) | Total (O/U) | 2-Way Moneyline | |
| Islanders | +1.5 -200 | 5.5 -115 | +125 |
| Senators | -1.5 +165 | 5.5 -105 | -155 |
Islanders vs Senators Prediction:
The winning team model predicts the Senators will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive and defensive matchups, and recent game results.
Islanders vs Senators Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Islanders will cover the spread with 63.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performance for both teams, opening and current betting lines, plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
NHL Odds at the BetMGM Sportsbook
Islanders Best Bets & Trends
- The New York Islanders have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 13 of their last 25 away games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 2P Game Total Over in 13 of their last 25 away games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have covered the 2P Puck Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Islanders have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.95 Units / 41% ROI)
Senators Best Bets & Trends
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+7.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 1P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 3P Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Ottawa Senators have hit the 2P Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+4.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Islanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Islanders are 3-3 against the spread this NHL season (-1.25 Units / -12.5% ROI).
- Islanders are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units /1.9% ROI
- Islanders are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -21.17% ROI
- Islanders are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units /14.84% ROI
Senators Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Senators are 3-4 against the spread this NHL season (-2.6 Units /-20.16% ROI).
- Senators are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 34.29% ROI
- Senators are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.65 Units / -45.91% ROI
- Senators are 5-2 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 39.22% ROI
Islanders: Keys to the Game vs. Senators
The Islanders are 14-5 (.737) when allowing 35 or more shots on goal since the start of the 2025-26 season — 2nd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .472
The Islanders were 23-1 (.958) when scoring 4 or more non-shootout goals last season — 3rd best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .870
The Islanders are 23-11 (.676) when scoring a power play goal since the start of the 2025-26 season — 7th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .593
The Islanders are 43-27 (.614) when winning the xG advantage since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .672
Senators: Keys to the Game vs. Islanders
The Senators are 19-29 (.396) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances since the start of the 2025-26 season — 5th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .467
The Senators are 34-26 (.567) when allowing less than 30 shots on goal since the start of the 2025-26 season — 8th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .511
The Senators are 46-13 (.780) when leading after the first period since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 9th best among NHL Teams; League Avg: .724
The Senators are 40-54 (.426) when allowing 14 or more high danger chances since the start of the 2024-25 season — 10th lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .452
Islanders Offensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders have 5 inner slot shots while shorthanded this season — most among NHL Teams
The Islanders have 0.6 slot shots per game while shorthanded since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.4
The Islanders had 1,251 high danger chances in the 2024-25 season — 9th most among NHL Teams
The Islanders have 0.3 points per game while shorthanded since the start of the 2025-26 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 0.2
Senators Offensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have drawn 116 penalties in the first period since the start of the 2025-26 season — most among NHL Teams
The Senators have drawn 28 penalties this season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Senators scored 27 power play goals in the first period last season — 2nd most among NHL Teams
The Senators have 39 rush chances this season — 10th most among NHL Teams
Islanders Defensive Stats & Trends
The Islanders allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities in the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 17%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 8% of second chance opportunities in 5v5 situations since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Islanders have allowed opponents to score on 9% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
Senators Defensive Stats & Trends
The Senators have allowed opponents to score on 22% of second chance opportunities since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NHL Teams; League Avg: 16%
The Senators have allowed 1.3 rush chances per game in the third period since the start of the 2025-26 season — best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Senators had a .791 slot save percentage in the first period last season — lowest among NHL Teams; League Avg: .839
The Senators have allowed 1.5 rush chances per game in the first period since the start of the 2025-26 season — tied for best among NHL Teams; League Avg: 1.9
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