Hornets vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 12

  • The Suns are -6.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
  • Watch the game on KPHE | KTVK | WAXN | DCHA

The Charlotte Hornets visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Hornets vs Suns Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 4-7 against the spread, while the Suns are 3-7 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+6.5 -110O 213.5 -105+200
Phoenix Suns -6.5 -110U 213.5 -115-250

Suns vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Thursday‘s game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Suns.

Suns vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 45 games (+23.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+19.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.12 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+15.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.65 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 4-7 (-3.65 Units / -30.29% ROI).

  • 4-7 against the Moneyline (-1.6 Units / -12.85% ROI)
  • 4-7 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI)
  • 7-4 against the Under for game total points (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 3-7 (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

  • 4-6 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -5.78% ROI)
  • 6-4 against the Over for game total points (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 4-6 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.30 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.70 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-15.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.26 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 45 games (-30.15 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 30 games (-19.46 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2H Spread in 3 of their last 22 games (-18.57 Units / -74% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.45 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Hornets were 6-23 (.207) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .299

The Hornets are 1-15 (.062) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Hornets are 13-48 (.213) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Hornets are 9-54 (.143) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .348

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Suns were 3-20 (.130) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .213

The Suns were undefeated (12-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .856

The Suns were 40-14 (.741) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .649

The Suns were 28-12 (.700) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets averaged 9.1 second chance points per game (744 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hornets made 16.4 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Hornets shot 41% (316/765) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Hornets had an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns shot 42% (351/838) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Suns averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (1,722 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Suns averaged 43.1 points in the paint per game (3,536 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Suns had 20.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,922 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Hornets averaged 7.0 steals per game (577 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Hornets allowed 15.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,286 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9

The Hornets allowed 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (616 rebounds/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.7

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,673 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Suns stole the ball 781 times last season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Suns averaged 9.5 steals per game (781 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Suns averaged 4.2 blocks per game (347 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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