Kings vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 27

• The Spurs are -18.5 favorites vs. the Kings
• Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
• Watch the game on NSCA | CWSA | PSAC | DSAS

The Sacramento Kings visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).

The Kings vs Spurs Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 1-2 against the spread, while the Spurs are 1-2 against the spread.

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Kings vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Spurs vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Spurs.

Spurs vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+13.00 Units / 184% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+9.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 21 games (+8.95 Units / 38% ROI)

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• 0-3 against the Moneyline (-3 Units / -100% ROI)
• 2-1 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
• 1-2 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• 1-2 against the Moneyline (-2.05 Units / -19.43% ROI)
• 0-3 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI)
• 3-0 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.85 Units / -26% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games at home (-14.75 Units / -43% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games at home (-14.40 Units / -25% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-13.50 Units / -26% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 19 games at home (-13.50 Units / -61% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (-17.65 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 45 games (-16.05 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 games (-13.90 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games (-13.30 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.90 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. San Antonio Spurs
• Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Kings were 1-8 (.111) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

The Kings were 9-35 (.205) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

The Kings were 11-36 (.234) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Kings were 8-29 (.216) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Spurs were 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs were 44-9 (.830) when winning the rebounding margin in the 2025-26 season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Kings averaged 50.7 rebounds/game in the 2025-26 season — 8th-lowest in the NBA.

The Spurs were 19-2 (.905) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Spurs were 25-1 (.962) when shooting 40% or better from three in the 2025-26 season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Kings allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three in the 2025-26 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings shot 34% from three (843/2,476) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings averaged 1.25 points per shot (9,102 points/7,299 shots) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Kings had a TS% of 48% in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings had a TS% of 50% last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs averaged 119.8 points per game (9,826 points/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Spurs averaged 16.3 fast break points per game (1,340 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Spurs shot 48% (3,562/7,373) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,703 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Kings averaged 4.5 blocks per game (372 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings allowed an average of 1.49 points per shot (1,132 points/762 shots) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (2,370/6,245) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs averaged 7.5 steals per game (617 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Spurs blocked 446 shots last season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Spurs averaged 5.4 blocks per game (446 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

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