Pacers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 26

• The Pacers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
• Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
• Watch the game on WCGV | DIND

The Indiana Pacers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Bucks Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 1-1 against the spread, while the Bucks are 1-2 against the spread.

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Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Bucks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Monday‘s game with 61.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Bucks.

Bucks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.

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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 30 games (+14.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (+11.62 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 away games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)

Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).

• 2-1 against the Moneyline (-0.55 Units / -9.09% ROI)
• 2-1 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
• 1-2 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• 0-3 against the Moneyline (-3.25 Units / -100% ROI)
• 3-0 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI)
• 0-3 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-21.50 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-19.15 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.85 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.65 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-15.75 Units / -31% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:

• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 45 games (-20.45 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-16.80 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-16.70 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 30 games (-14.45 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.80 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
• Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
• Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
• Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
• Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
• Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
• Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pacers were 4-26 (.133) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Pacers were 6-34 (.150) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The Pacers were 5-21 (.192) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Pacers were 1-20 (.048) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .364

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Bucks were winless (0-13) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .213

The Bucks were 14-24 (.368) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Bucks were 6-8 (.429) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Bucks are winless (0-11) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .088

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Pacers averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (475 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pacers have averaged 11.9 second chance points per game (1,990 points/167 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Pacers had a TS% of 50% last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 41.9 points in the paint per game (3,432 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Bucks shot 41% from three (663/1,633) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks had a TS% of 55% in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Bucks shot 52% (418/812) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 7.4 steals per game (605 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pacers allowed 12.1 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

The Pacers allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (78/275) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 34%

The Pacers forced 13.7 turnovers per game (563 turnovers/41 games) at home last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,808 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Bucks averaged 7.4 steals per game (607 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Bucks averaged 4.0 blocks per game (325 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Bucks have averaged 7.3 steals per game (1,223 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

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