Raptors vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 4

• The Nuggets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
• Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
• Watch the game on ALT | TSN | TSN+

The Toronto Raptors visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Nuggets Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 4-3 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 2-4 against the spread.

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Raptors vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 58.1% confidence.

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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)

Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

• 4-3 against the Moneyline (-0.1 Units / -0.63% ROI)
• 4-3 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)
• 3-4 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• 3-3 against the Moneyline (-2.3 Units / -17.04% ROI)
• 3-3 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
• 3-3 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 9 games at home (-29.95 Units / -81% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-20.00 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games at home (-18.05 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games at home (-17.06 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-16.30 Units / -35% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:

• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (-18.65 Units / -20% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 away games (-15.40 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 22 games (-12.65 Units / -49% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 away games (-12.35 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Toronto Raptors
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets
• Toronto Raptors Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Toronto Raptors Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Raptors were 14-1 (.933) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Raptors were 28-9 (.757) when winning the rebounding margin last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Raptors were 23-8 (.742) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Raptors were 14-34 (.292) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .351

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Nuggets were 33-13 (.717) when winning the rebounding margin in the 2025-26 season — T-9th-best in the NBA. The Raptors averaged 50.9 rebounds/game in the 2025-26 season — 9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Nuggets were 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Nuggets were 34-6 (.850) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The Nuggets were 42-24 (.636) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,417 assists/ 1,121 TOs) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors shot 48% (3,495/7,250) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Raptors made 11.4 three-pointers per game last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Raptors averaged 13.9 second chance points per game (1,143 points/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 40% from three (1,161/2,934) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,155 assists/ 512 TOs) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Nuggets shot 41% from three (565/1,393) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets averaged 1.43 points per shot (4,959 points/3,475 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Raptors allowed 12.5 fast break points per game (1,027 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.2

The Raptors allowed 12.5 fast break points per game (511 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.4

The Raptors have 1,468 steals since the start of the 2024-25 season — 10th most among NBA teams

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,039 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Nuggets averaged 6.8 steals per game (560 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets forced 11.8 turnovers per game (966 turnovers/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

The Nuggets forced 11.7 turnovers per game (480 turnovers/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

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