Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 4

  • The Rockets are -7.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | DMIN

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Houston, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves vs Rockets Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 7-1 against the spread, while the Rockets are 7-0 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves+7.5 -110O 220.5 -110+230
Houston Rockets -7.5 -110U 220.5 -110-295

Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Wednesday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Rockets.

Rockets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 64.1% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+14.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.43 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.00 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 7-1 (+5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI).

  • 5-3 against the Moneyline (+1.35 Units / 9.28% ROI)
  • 4-4 against the Over for game total points (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 4-4 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 7-0 (+7 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 7-0 against the Moneyline (+7.65 Units / 52.22% ROI)
  • 4-3 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 3-4 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 21 games at home (-12.90 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-12.47 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-12.45 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 20 games at home (-12.15 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games at home (-11.25 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-17.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 away games (-13.05 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (-10.75 Units / -16% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Timberwolves were 30-13 (.698) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Timberwolves were 27-16 (.628) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Timberwolves were 14-1 (.933) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Rockets were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Rockets were 27-10 (.730) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Rockets were 30-12 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Rockets were winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .211

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 75% from the free throw line (1,558/2,072) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves averaged 121.2 points per game (4,970 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Timberwolves averaged 14.3 second chance points per game (1,172 points/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Timberwolves averaged 118.0 points per game (9,676 points/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 22.1 offensive rebounds per game (3,806 rebounds/172 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.5

The Rockets averaged 22.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,814 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.9

The Rockets have averaged 17.8 second chance points per game (3,065 points/172 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Rockets have averaged 9.0 second chance points per game (1,542 points/172 games) in the first half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Timberwolves averaged 5.8 blocks per game (476 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have blocked 921 shots since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (921 blocks/172 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets blocked 473 shots last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Rockets averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,913 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Rockets averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Rockets have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (488 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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