- The Patriots are predicted to be a 4.5-point underdog against the Seahawks.
- New England defeated Seattle 28-24 when these teams met in Super Bowl XLIX.
- My Patriots vs Seahawks prediction is the Total Under 46.5 Points (-110).
Super Bowl 60 offers an iconic rematch of Super Bowl XLIX as the Patriots face the Seahawks.
New England escaped a Denver blizzard with a 10-7 win over the Broncos. Meanwhile, the Seahawks dispatched the Rams 31-27 in Seattle to reach its first big game since 2015.
Either Super Bowl outcome will make history. Not since 2001 has a team with preseason Super Bowl odds of +6000 or higher won the Super Bowl. The winner in ‘01? New England.
Bet on Patriots vs. Seahawks and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
Patriots vs. Seahawks: Super Bowl 60 Odds
Patriots vs. Seahawks Prediction
Based on New England’s pressure tendencies and the strength of Seattle’s defense, my Patriots vs Seahawks prediction is the Total Under 46.5 Points (-110).
Neither team should see much success running the ball in this game.
New England’s rush defense has returned to initial levels since Milton Williams returned to the lineup. Even against good rushing attacks, New England performed well with Williams.
Neither James Cook nor De’Von Achane saw much success against New England early in the year. By rush offense DVOA, Seattle offers a fairly easy test.
Although Seattle ran the ball well recently, the success largely came against a bad 49ers run defense. In the NFC Championship, Seattle managed only 2.9 yards per attempt.
Then there’s the Seattle rush defense, which ranks first in the NFL in rush DVOA. Save for games against Indianapolis and the Rams, the unit held up very well.
For the season, New England ranked 21st in rush offense DVOA.
My belief is that’s going to place both offenses into lengthy third downs. Both quarterbacks are going to face issues in those situations.
New England has begun sending blitz after blitz after blitz during the postseason. Sam Darnold has struggled against pressure, ranking 15th in PFF’s passing grades against pressure.
As for Drake Maye, his issue is that he posted concerning metrics against comparable pass defense.
Maye’s worst PFF rating of the year came in the divisional round against Houston. The Texans defense offers the closest comparison to Seattle’s unit, which led the league in pass DVOA.
While New England managed 28 points in that game, the defense scored a touchdown and forced five turnovers. Additionally, the offense reached the red zone only once.
Given time to prepare, Seattle should produce a strategy to disrupt New England’s offense. If that proves true, I question how both teams score enough to produce a higher-scoring game.
Betting Patriots vs. Seahawks: NFL Public Betting
| Team | % of ATS Bets | % of ATS Money |
|---|---|---|
| Seahawks (-4.5) | 57% | 51% |
| Patriots (+4.5) | 43% | 49% |
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