Akron vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

• The Minnesota Golden Gophers are a -23.5 point favorite vs. the Akron Zips
• Akron vs. Minnesota Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
• TV Channel: BTN

Akron (1-1) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-110).

The Akron vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Akron vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Akron vs Minnesota Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Akron Zips and the Minnesota Golden Gophers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Akron vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 65.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Akron Best Bets Today

• Akron has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
• Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• Akron has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 6% ROI)
• Akron have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Minnesota Best Bets Today

• Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.05 Units / 56% ROI)
• Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)
• Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron Zips is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Akron is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• Akron is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.09% ROI
• Akron is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.18 Units / -100% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota Golden Gophers is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Minnesota is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
• Minnesota is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
• Minnesota is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Akron was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442

Akron was winless (0-2) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Akron was 3-6 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Akron was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Minnesota was 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Minnesota was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .438

Minnesota was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Minnesota is 13-4 (.765) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– 13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .637

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Minnesota

Minnesota averaged just 9.8 yards after the catch last season — 8th-worst among FBS skill players. Akron’s defense allowed 12.9 RAC last season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Minnesota has averaged just 10.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Power 5 skill players. Akron’s defense has allowed 12.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Minnesota has averaged just 10.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Akron’s defense has allowed 12.3 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron WRs averaged a touchdown every 33.8 receptions (169 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Akron Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 25.7 receptions (257 Rec/10 TDs) in the 2023 season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

Akron TEs were targeted 4 times in short yardage situations last week– most among FBS Teams

Akron RBs had 57 receiving yards on 1st down last week– 4th-most among FBS Teams

Akron RBs averaged just 3.9 Yards per Carry (308 yards/79 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– T-20th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota Skill Players had no touchdowns on 31 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.9

Minnesota threw 0 TDs on 48 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 15.3

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota had no touchdowns on 31 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 9.8

Minnesota WRs had no touchdowns on 20 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.5

Akron Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Akron intercepted 3 of 343 attempts (114.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

Akron allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Akron allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (23 completions/33 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota allowed first downs on 78% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49%

Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on 89 of 423 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) last season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Minnesota allowed first downs on 53% of pass attempts in close and late situations last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31%

Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on 89 of 423 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Minnesota allowed first downs on 53% of pass attempts in close and late situations last season– worst in FBS; Average: 31%

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