- The Alabama Crimson Tide are a -7 point favorite vs. the Tennessee Volunteers
- Alabama vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
Alabama (5-1) visit Neyland Stadium to take on Tennessee (5-1) on Oct. 17 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7 (-140).
The Alabama vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Alabama vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Alabama | -7 -140 | 54.5 -145 | -325 |
| Tennessee | +7 +105 | 54.5 +110 | +260 |
Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Tennessee Volunteers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Alabama vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Alabama Best Bets Today
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)
Tennessee Best Bets Today
- Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 2% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama Crimson Tide is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Alabama is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 5.71% ROI
- Alabama is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Alabama is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee Volunteers is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.25 Units / -3.82% ROI).
- Tennessee is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 14.71% ROI
- Tennessee is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.45 Units / -67.94% ROI
- Tennessee is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 58.65% ROI
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .657
Alabama is 14-4 (.778) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .593
Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618
Alabama was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631
Tennessee was 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
Tennessee was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645
Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. Tennessee
Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,807 passing yards in 13 games (292.8 YPG) last season — 6th-best among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — best among SEC defenses.
Tennessee’s WRs gained 2,897 yards on 202 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 11.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee gained 3,807 yards on 292 receptions (13.0 YPR) last season — 5th-best among SEC skill players. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s QBs threw for 3,938 passing yards in 15 games (262.5 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense allowed 244.8 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Alabama’s offense threw for 3,953 passing yards in 15 games (263.5 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Tennessee’s defense allowed 244.8 passing yards per game last season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s TEs had 62 receptions in 15 games (4.1 per game) last season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Tennessee’s defense allowed 22.4 receptions per game last season — T-2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
Alabama Skill Players averaged 20.7 yards per reception (497 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
Alabama WRs averaged 29.0 yards per reception (348 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Alabama have 7 interceptions on 688 attempts (1 INT per 98.3 attempts) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 41.6
Alabama Skill Players averaged 20.7 yards per reception (497 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,807 passing yards in 13 games (292.8 YPG) last season — 6th-best among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — best among SEC defenses.
Tennessee’s WRs gained 2,897 yards on 202 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 11.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee gained 3,807 yards on 292 receptions (13.0 YPR) last season — 5th-best among SEC skill players. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s offense threw for 3,807 passing yards in 13 games (292.8 YPG) last season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.
Tennessee’s TEs had 59 receptions in 13 games (4.5 per game) last season — T-2nd-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 16.4 receptions per game last season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama has forced 24 fumbles since the 2024 season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Alabama has allowed first downs on 9% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 21%
Alabama allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (2,369 yards/236 completions) last season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 11.7
Alabama has 9 interceptions this season– most in the SEC
Alabama has intercepted 9 of 174 attempts (19.3 pass attempts per int.) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 36.6
Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (24/175) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Tennessee has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 11 of their 199 carries (6%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 3%
Tennessee has averaged 4.0 sacks per game this season– best in FBS; Average: 2.0
Tennessee has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (24/175) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Tennessee has allowed just 8.8 yards per completion (968 yards/110 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.1
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