Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 14, 2022, 9:12 AM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Alabama Crimson Tide (6-1) visit Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (6-0) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Knoxville.

are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Alabama vs. Tennessee is total points.

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Alabama vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama
Tennessee

Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 65.7% confidence.

Alabama vs Tennessee Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Tennessee, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bryce Young has hit the Completions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jermaine Burton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today

    Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hendon Hooker has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Hendon Hooker has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Hendon Hooker has hit the TD Passes Under in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games (+5.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 6 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+13.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Alabama has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Alabama is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Alabama is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Alabama is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Tennessee has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Tennessee is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Tennessee is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Tennessee is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

    #1 Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

    #1 Alabama is 17-1 (.895) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

    #1 Alabama is undefeated (13-0) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

    #1 Alabama is 23-1 (.742) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2020 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

    Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

    #8 Tennessee is 3-10 (.231) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

    #8 Tennessee is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319

    #8 Tennessee is 2-13 (.118) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .350

    #8 Tennessee is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

    Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. Tennessee

    Tennessee’s WRs has gained 1,225 yards on 79 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — third-best among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.

    Tennessee has gained 4,695 yards on 334 receptions (14.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among SEC defenses.

    Tennessee’s TEs has 8 receptions in 4 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — fifth-worst among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game this season — tied for third-best among SEC defenses.

    Alabama have just 215.8 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among SEC skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 271.0 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

    Alabama has 63 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — second-most among Power 5 skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 27 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fifth-most among SEC defenses.

    Alabama has 32 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — second-most among SEC skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 17 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among SEC defenses.

    Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

    #1 Alabama QBs have 31 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

    #1 Alabama RBs have averaged 13.6 Yards per Carry (244 yards/18 carries) in close and late situations this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

    #1 Alabama Skill Players have 1,797 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

    #1 Alabama Skill Players have 1,797 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

    #1 Alabama RBs have averaged 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (602 yards / 68 touches) on 1st down this season– tied for best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

    Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

    Tennessee’s WRs has gained 1,225 yards on 79 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — third-best among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.

    Tennessee has gained 4,695 yards on 334 receptions (14.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among SEC defenses.

    Tennessee’s TEs has 8 receptions in 4 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — fifth-worst among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 17.0 receptions per game this season — tied for third-best among SEC defenses.

    Tennessee has gained 1,353 yards on 91 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — second-best among SEC skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.

    Tennessee’s WRs has 2.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 0.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for third-best among SEC defenses.

    Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends

    #1 Alabama has allowed one passing TD (113 pass attempts) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 21.5

    #1 Alabama has allowed one touchdown on 60 completions this season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 12.9

    #1 Alabama has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (67/585) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

    #1 Alabama has allowed one passing TD (113 pass attempts) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 26.7

    #1 Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 41 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

    Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends

    #8 Tennessee has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 16 rushes in the Red Zone this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.9

    #8 Tennessee has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 16 rushes in the Red Zone this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 4.7

    #8 Tennessee has allowed 0.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (17 yards / 19 touches) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 3.7

    #8 Tennessee has allowed opponents to catch just 3 of 12 passes (25% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 52%

    Opponents have averaged 27.3 completions per game (82 / 3) against #8 Tennessee this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.2


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.