Appalachian State vs Coastal Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

FILE - The Coastal Carolina cheerleaders lead the team onto the field before an NCAA college football game against Georgia State on Nov. 13, 2021, in Conway, S.C. What looked like a week of opportunity for No. 23 Coastal Carolina quickly became one of grief and unconditional support for the University of Virginia football team the Chants were supposed to play on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022. That game was called off Wednesday, Nov. 16, as Virginia continued grieving their three football players killed by a former member of the Cavaliers last Sunday night, Nov. 13.
(AP Photo/Artie Walker, Jr.)
Odds Boost This Weekend
  • The Appalachian State Mountaineers are a -1 point favorite vs. the Coastal Carolina
  • Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

Appalachian State (3-2) visit Brooks Stadium to take on Coastal Carolina (2-4) on Oct. 16 in Conway, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Appalachian State-1 -11051.5 -150-118
Coastal Carolina +1 -10851.5 +115-102

Appalachian State vs Coastal Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 52.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Appalachian State Mountaineers and the Coastal Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Appalachian State vs Coastal Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • App State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.50 Units / 3% ROI)

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian State Mountaineers is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.6% ROI).

  • Appalachian State is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -1.34% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.42% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.85 Units / 15.6% ROI

Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Coastal Carolina is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.25 Units / -3.82% ROI).

  • Coastal Carolina is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -47% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina

Appalachian State is winless (0-2) when intercepting no passes since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .390

Appalachian State is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Appalachian State is 1-5 (.167) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .427

Appalachian State is winless (0-2) when intercepting no passes since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .312

Coastal Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

Coastal Carolina was winless (0-3) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Coastal Carolina is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .439

Coastal Carolina was winless (0-3) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

Coastal Carolina is 2-10 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .365

Matchup Notes for Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina’s QBs threw for 2,046 passing yards in 13 games (just 157.4 YPG) last season — 15th-worst among FBS teams. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s QBs threw for 2,046 passing yards in 13 games (just 157.4 YPG) last season — 15th-worst among FBS teams. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s offense threw for 2,204 passing yards in 13 games (just 169.5 YPG) last season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 5,385 yards on 373 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs averaged 23.2 targets per game last season — T-31st-highest among FBS WRs. Coastal Carolina’s defense allowed 13.8 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s TEs has 145 receptions in 28 games (5.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State TEs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Appalachian State Skill Players caught just 7 of 24 passes(29% Reception Pct) last week– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%

Appalachian State TEs have averaged 61.0 receiving yards per game (305/5) in the 1st half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 21.3

Appalachian State caught just 7 of 27 passes(26% Reception Pct) last week– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 62%

Appalachian State TEs have picked up first downs on 9 receptions on 1st down this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Coastal Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina TEs have caught just 1 of 6 passes (17% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 65%

Coastal Carolina’s QBs threw for 2,046 passing yards in 13 games (just 157.4 YPG) last season — 15th-worst among FBS teams. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s QBs threw for 2,046 passing yards in 13 games (just 157.4 YPG) last season — 15th-worst among FBS teams. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s offense threw for 2,204 passing yards in 13 games (just 169.5 YPG) last season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 passing yards per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina threw 0 TDs on 37 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.8

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State allowed 17 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most in FBS

Appalachian State allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (193 completions/281 attempts) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

The Appalachian State defense allowed scores on 6% of opponent drives (1/18) last week– best in FBS; Average: 25%

Appalachian State has averaged 1.60 interceptions per game (8/5) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.72

Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 39 of 195 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Coastal Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Coastal Carolina has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most in FBS

Coastal Carolina has forced 10 fumbles this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Coastal Carolina had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.3

Coastal Carolina has forced 10 fumbles this season– T-most in FBS


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