- The James Madison Dukes are a -11.5 point favorite vs. the Georgia State Panthers
- Georgia State vs. James Madison Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Georgia State (4-1) visit Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field to take on James Madison (6-0) on Oct. 17 in Harrisonburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The James Madison Dukes are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-118).
The Georgia State vs. James Madison Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Georgia State vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Georgia State | +11.5 -112 | 47.5 +250 | +350 |
| James Madison | -11.5 -118 | 47.5 -350 | -450 |
Georgia State vs James Madison Prediction:
The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 69.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Georgia State Panthers and the James Madison Dukes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia State vs James Madison Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 63.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on James Madison Dukes vs Georgia State Panthers and all games with BetMGM
Georgia State Best Bets Today
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- Georgia State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Georgia State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+2.90 Units / 13% ROI)
James Madison Best Bets Today
- James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 1% ROI)
- James Madison have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 34% ROI)
Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia State Panthers is 5-0 against the spread this college football season (+5 Units / 90.09% ROI).
- Georgia State is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 9.68% ROI
- Georgia State is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.41% ROI
- Georgia State is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.25 Units / -22.94% ROI
James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record
James Madison Dukes is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.27% ROI).
- James Madison is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 32.19% ROI
- James Madison is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.6% ROI
- James Madison is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.38 Units / -5.69% ROI
Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison
Georgia State is winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .427
Georgia State was winless (0-6) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424
Georgia State is winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .471
Georgia State was winless (0-6) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460
James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State
James Madison is 12-1 (.923) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .384
James Madison is 9-1 (.900) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .396
James Madison is 11-1 (.917) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
James Madison is 18-2 (.900) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .545
Matchup Notes for Georgia State vs. James Madison
James Madison gained 2,956 yards on 225 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception last season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 385 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.7% of attempts last season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s RBs averaged 9.4 yards after the catch last season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia State’s defense allowed 13.1 RAC last season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia State has 657 receptions in 29 games (22.7 per game) since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 17.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State’s RBs had 64 receptions in 12 games (5.3 per game) last season — T-7th-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense allowed just 15.3 receptions per game last season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State’s offense has thrown for 7,391 passing yards in 29 games (254.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 202.5 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State QBs have 8 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State have thrown 0 TDs on 39 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 17.4
Georgia State RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State have been sacked 2 times on 151 pass attempts (one sack every 75.5 pass attempts) this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 16.4
Georgia State RBs were targeted 8.5 times per game (102/12) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends
James Madison RBs averaged 8.2 Yards per Carry (742 yards/91 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
James Madison have not been sacked (45 pass attempts) on 3rd down this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.3
James Madison have thrown 16 TDs and just one interception this season– 11th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.6
James Madison gained 2,956 yards on 225 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception last season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison RBs have averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (984 yards/137 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Georgia State Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State has allowed 5.8 touchdowns per interception (29 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9
Georgia State has allowed 5.8 touchdowns per interception (29 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Georgia State allowed 8.3 touchdowns per interception (25 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9
Georgia State intercepted 3 of 339 attempts (113.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.8
Georgia State has intercepted 5 of 484 attempts (96.8 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.6
James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends
James Madison has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 205 carries (68.3 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.8
James Madison has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (44 completions/106 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 55%
James Madison has allowed 12 rushing TDs on 631 carries (52.6 Carries Per TD) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.6
James Madison has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (337 completions/633 attempts) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
James Madison has allowed 51.8 receiving yards per game (311/6) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 22.4
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