- The West Virginia Mountaineers are a -1.5 point favorite vs. the Cincinnati Bearcats
- Cincinnati vs. West Virginia Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: TNT | tru
Cincinnati (4-1) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on West Virginia (3-3) on Oct. 17 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The West Virginia Mountaineers are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Cincinnati vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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Cincinnati vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cincinnati | +1.5 -118 | 61.5 +100 | -102 |
| West Virginia | -1.5 -110 | 61.5 -135 | -115 |
Cincinnati vs West Virginia Prediction:
The winning team model predicts West Virginia will win this game with 50.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cincinnati Bearcats and the West Virginia Mountaineers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Cincinnati vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Cincinnati Best Bets Today
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
West Virginia Best Bets Today
- West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.00 Units / 1% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati Bearcats is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.49% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 25.92% ROI
- Cincinnati is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.88 Units / 16.24% ROI
- Cincinnati is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.3% ROI
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia Mountaineers is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -20.45% ROI).
- West Virginia is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 5.71% ROI
- West Virginia is 6-0 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 90.91% ROI
- West Virginia is 0-6 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -100% ROI
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia
Cincinnati is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Cincinnati is 8-2 (.800) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .657
Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460
West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
West Virginia is 4-9 (.308) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .613
West Virginia is 3-11 (.214) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
West Virginia is 4-10 (.286) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .464
West Virginia was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Matchup Notes for Cincinnati vs. West Virginia
West Virginia’s RBs averaged 9.5 yards after the catch last season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 10.9 RAC last season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s TEs gained 342 yards on 36 receptions (just 9.5 YPR) last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has 305 receptions in 31 games (just 9.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 19.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 364 attempts last season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts last season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati’s WRs gained 2,198 yards on 151 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. West Virginia’s defense allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati gained 3,006 yards on 225 receptions (13.4 YPR) last season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. West Virginia’s defense allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati have thrown 6 TDs and no interceptions this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.6
Cincinnati RBs averaged 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (159 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Cincinnati have not been intercepted (131 pass attempts) this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 45.4
Cincinnati RBs averaged 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (379 yards / 41 touches) on 3rd down last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Cincinnati TEs have averaged 24.7 yards per reception (173 yards/7 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2024 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.8
West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia Skill Players have averaged 18.2 yards per reception (1,109 yards/61 catches) this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.5
West Virginia have averaged 18.2 yards per reception (1,109 yards/61 catches) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.1
West Virginia WRs have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (957 yards/46 catches) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8
West Virginia Skill Players have averaged just 10.2 receptions per game (61/6) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 19.4
West Virginia WRs have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (957 yards/46 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Cincinnati intercepted 2 of 388 attempts (194.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 35.4
Cincinnati allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Cincinnati has tackled opponents for a loss on just 76 of 693 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Cincinnati intercepted 2 of 388 attempts (194.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.8
West Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia has allowed 14.6 yards per completion (1,782 yards/122 completions) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 11.4
West Virginia allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6
West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 10 of 183 attempts (6%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2%
West Virginia has allowed 33 receptions for 20+ yards this season– most in the Big 12
West Virginia defense has allowed 33 completions for 20 or more yards this season– most in the Big 12
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